Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-09-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1522 15452 2816 930 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1 57 636 127 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 558 1059 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 3063 2794 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 535 2212 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1721 14563 3637 577 97 0 0 0
OW 0 1 110 607 178 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 782 706 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 2199 2070 204 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 371 3420 615 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 106 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2089 14460 2991 604 46 0 0 0
OW 0 266 186 562 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 834 469 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 2130 271 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 679 4924 570 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 300 529 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2075 15492 2028 569 39 0 0 0
OW 0 235 191 712 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 906 520 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 151 2087 165 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1742 4301 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 650 62 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2075 15433 2087 583 74 0 0 0
OW 0 293 129 719 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 10 877 646 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 159 1759 181 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1925 4408 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 520 66 0

Date: 2016-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4541 13118 1369 432 33 12 0 0
OW 0 496 269 689 163 31 0 0
VODI 0 0 30 808 565 82 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 246 1194 667 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 425 3846 879 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1629 545 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4541 12924 1436 537 53 37 0 0
OW 0 663 176 672 116 23 0 0
VODI 0 27 56 763 718 73 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 185 959 529 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 532 4254 1053 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1351 371 0

Date: 2016-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3577 13240 1113 245 0 0 0 0
OW 0 819 431 630 7 9 0 0
VODI 0 183 213 1306 446 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 2750 370 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 776 5470 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 368 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3577 13666 1380 427 12 47 0 0
OW 0 436 213 801 110 52 0 0
VODI 0 140 163 672 767 96 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 281 939 299 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 1827 3198 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 324 2568 0 0

Date: 2016-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2542 13810 1122 254 0 0 0 0
OW 0 600 442 681 20 4 0 0
VODI 0 228 395 1365 557 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 1943 368 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 733 5887 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 884 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2542 14180 1385 564 28 43 0 0
OW 0 350 359 751 108 69 0 0
VODI 0 108 212 733 826 202 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 331 888 277 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 1181 2442 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 222 4163 27 0

Date: 2016-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2406 13570 824 248 10 0 0 0
OW 0 448 345 454 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 382 1282 821 24 17 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 1258 935 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 70 3913 1944 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1390 1434 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2406 13939 1163 552 54 2 17 0
OW 0 246 318 756 294 48 45 0
VODI 0 0 70 711 877 324 67 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 779 675 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 187 1953 607 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3260 2677 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 22:28:16 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy