Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-03-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 265 17 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 12 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 8 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 34 8 3 2 0 0
CDI 0 18 68 126 26 61 51 29
VCDI 0 1 34 111 313 971 9403 20286
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 315 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 129 7 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 116 8 11 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 100 26 14 11 33 0 0
CDI 0 42 83 69 56 235 34 22
VCDI 0 24 66 168 328 1927 8876 19366
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 502 30 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 155 104 43 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 51 101 12 1 0 0
ODI 0 8 7 62 118 63 0 0
CDI 0 1 11 35 205 380 25 13
VCDI 0 0 13 41 153 1832 9395 18689
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 297 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 140 10 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 188 127 15 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 66 97 34 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 21 116 120 58 28 1
VCDI 0 0 5 56 227 1167 9858 19416
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 298 8 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 148 10 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 187 136 20 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 64 108 42 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 16 101 106 88 27 3
VCDI 0 0 2 55 223 1135 9859 19414

Date: 2016-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 288 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 118 6 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 214 101 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 95 89 7 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 26 68 76 133 30 0
VCDI 0 0 17 101 212 1710 9544 19192
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 282 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 247 110 12 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 15 98 98 5 22 1 0
CDI 0 0 20 64 80 133 40 0
VCDI 0 0 12 98 210 1697 9533 19192

Date: 2016-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 742 48 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 100 112 28 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 88 25 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 66 114 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 170 440 50 1
VCDI 0 0 0 46 280 1816 9642 18156
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 336 11 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 104 16 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 317 32 12 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 77 91 61 21 11 0 0
CDI 0 8 21 73 144 216 43 4
VCDI 0 0 20 137 423 2100 9649 18153

Date: 2016-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 268 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 6 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 293 127 46 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 8 55 134 65 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 58 136 348 68 25
VCDI 0 0 0 67 346 3755 8956 17186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 256 10 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 90 9 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 191 29 10 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 117 96 65 23 12 0 0
CDI 0 11 45 126 131 243 45 15
VCDI 0 0 15 104 393 3870 8979 17196

Date: 2016-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 193 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 7 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 64 5 3 2 5 8 0
CDI 0 185 75 19 13 108 182 0
VCDI 0 24 86 216 331 4171 13219 13005
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 203 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 8 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 9 3 2 17 6 0
CDI 0 155 81 65 17 115 153 0
VCDI 0 38 76 170 327 4152 13250 13005


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