Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-02-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55520 25404 4467 842 92 33 0 0
OW 51 267 411 753 108 33 0 0
VODI 0 285 332 632 389 82 3 0
ODI 0 72 226 352 564 144 26 0
CDI 0 99 129 409 760 659 153 7
VCDI 0 60 187 669 2433 9012 31901 49482
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52581 28921 3517 746 98 15 0 0
OW 51 291 449 555 131 43 2 0
VODI 0 187 486 585 461 55 9 0
ODI 0 73 221 471 703 182 22 0
CDI 0 70 124 515 810 945 211 21
VCDI 0 28 215 706 1983 8595 31887 50083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59472 22772 3328 1125 181 18 0 0
OW 63 289 358 561 160 41 11 0
VODI 0 129 386 835 419 57 25 0
ODI 0 23 152 579 697 178 34 0
CDI 0 3 51 307 1048 563 192 18
VCDI 0 20 75 335 2151 7976 31358 51058
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56771 25941 2714 1188 196 31 0 0
OW 63 353 337 456 213 74 4 0
VODI 0 284 254 587 523 101 54 0
ODI 0 69 233 479 710 227 89 0
CDI 0 52 97 406 937 803 203 16
VCDI 0 68 209 590 2375 6385 34671 48285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56771 26004 2762 1259 255 47 0 0
OW 63 320 326 493 226 58 9 0
VODI 0 221 209 532 509 108 51 0
ODI 0 100 189 447 665 233 78 0
CDI 0 38 138 362 908 775 225 17
VCDI 0 84 220 613 2391 6400 34658 48284

Date: 2016-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60662 22067 2494 1185 285 33 22 0
OW 63 483 327 392 243 49 25 0
VODI 0 438 285 406 451 94 47 0
ODI 0 160 235 365 587 213 61 0
CDI 0 54 223 426 809 1033 199 10
VCDI 0 150 303 956 1703 7704 31404 50402
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60662 22146 2561 1234 337 38 25 0
OW 63 435 290 403 230 48 25 0
VODI 0 361 242 367 476 97 43 0
ODI 0 167 180 348 607 211 62 0
CDI 0 87 233 376 690 954 194 13
VCDI 0 156 361 1002 1738 7778 31409 50399

Date: 2016-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60310 23490 2235 1067 192 32 0 0
OW 60 603 626 674 244 44 0 0
VODI 0 47 204 994 617 82 16 0
ODI 0 12 75 466 1094 235 38 0
CDI 0 10 77 361 1181 1293 176 4
VCDI 0 0 79 433 1390 8436 29866 50285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60307 22912 2012 1175 337 78 3 0
OW 63 456 295 366 251 81 32 0
VODI 0 395 246 474 418 92 73 0
ODI 0 168 211 402 613 167 75 0
CDI 0 98 186 479 1015 965 87 0
VCDI 0 133 346 1099 2084 8739 29826 50289

Date: 2016-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61419 20965 2482 1105 301 5 0 0
OW 62 605 642 709 273 35 0 0
VODI 0 225 246 914 578 95 11 0
ODI 0 36 62 459 930 281 29 0
CDI 0 23 54 352 1189 1197 162 19
VCDI 0 11 121 445 1368 8217 29271 52150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61430 20886 2347 1192 434 31 0 0
OW 51 386 380 337 298 82 17 0
VODI 0 266 315 423 399 156 67 0
ODI 0 96 165 418 669 237 67 0
CDI 0 65 87 531 979 842 145 7
VCDI 0 166 313 1083 1860 8482 29177 52162

Date: 2016-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60927 21452 2376 1048 83 4 0 0
OW 50 457 456 561 219 25 0 0
VODI 0 258 484 1118 457 73 11 0
ODI 0 108 129 831 651 270 27 0
CDI 0 5 81 579 1009 968 153 25
VCDI 0 0 36 750 1343 8349 32628 49047
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60926 21305 2295 1162 158 29 0 0
OW 51 382 305 446 219 49 15 0
VODI 0 267 313 495 358 112 44 0
ODI 0 164 268 529 419 299 65 0
CDI 0 91 152 715 785 875 90 10
VCDI 0 71 229 1540 1823 8325 32605 49062


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