Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2015-12-24
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-12-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
466 |
193 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
115 |
88 |
35 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
36 |
140 |
146 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
21 |
142 |
55 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
21 |
27 |
77 |
135 |
104 |
45 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
7 |
32 |
118 |
277 |
1538 |
8537 |
19631 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
321 |
169 |
77 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
56 |
133 |
40 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
66 |
99 |
132 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
28 |
124 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
26 |
43 |
124 |
79 |
53 |
29 |
| VCDI |
0 |
7 |
49 |
126 |
238 |
1046 |
8966 |
19885 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
572 |
230 |
82 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
226 |
106 |
41 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
189 |
176 |
131 |
67 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
53 |
95 |
123 |
91 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
32 |
183 |
144 |
252 |
8 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
327 |
1959 |
8113 |
18673 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
335 |
168 |
57 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
153 |
122 |
46 |
28 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
164 |
119 |
104 |
26 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
75 |
129 |
166 |
89 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
81 |
274 |
209 |
563 |
96 |
20 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
80 |
494 |
3823 |
10315 |
14211 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
357 |
186 |
57 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
161 |
105 |
48 |
31 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
163 |
134 |
129 |
23 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
55 |
147 |
183 |
85 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
48 |
260 |
233 |
537 |
104 |
20 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
472 |
3853 |
10307 |
14211 |
|
Date: 2015-12-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
467 |
122 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
204 |
101 |
87 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
230 |
162 |
129 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
164 |
119 |
163 |
97 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
73 |
123 |
218 |
209 |
288 |
113 |
21 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
268 |
465 |
3163 |
10204 |
14816 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
495 |
134 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
189 |
103 |
96 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
277 |
180 |
161 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
168 |
155 |
157 |
116 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
68 |
285 |
226 |
295 |
95 |
18 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
154 |
426 |
3140 |
10222 |
14819 |
|
Date: 2015-12-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
557 |
361 |
109 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
160 |
239 |
181 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
41 |
248 |
432 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
24 |
236 |
287 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
282 |
461 |
61 |
37 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
296 |
3186 |
10225 |
14543 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
320 |
96 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
98 |
96 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
233 |
247 |
229 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
103 |
271 |
253 |
81 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
162 |
314 |
297 |
319 |
23 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
150 |
504 |
3296 |
10263 |
14580 |
|
Date: 2015-12-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
426 |
118 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
105 |
122 |
91 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
69 |
165 |
204 |
146 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
94 |
261 |
271 |
86 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
129 |
301 |
446 |
21 |
18 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
189 |
2901 |
8893 |
16919 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
278 |
72 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
57 |
29 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
102 |
93 |
86 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
134 |
135 |
90 |
94 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
47 |
152 |
309 |
241 |
300 |
37 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
26 |
223 |
575 |
3112 |
8877 |
16936 |
|
Date: 2016-01-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
538 |
121 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
225 |
146 |
75 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
147 |
192 |
152 |
115 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
58 |
117 |
258 |
174 |
140 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
244 |
288 |
406 |
150 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
585 |
2536 |
10396 |
14943 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
343 |
46 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
62 |
37 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
148 |
60 |
46 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
193 |
95 |
83 |
59 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
139 |
197 |
222 |
258 |
283 |
84 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
83 |
161 |
405 |
853 |
2776 |
10463 |
14935 |
|
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