Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-08-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83634 14338 1781 829 12 0 0 0
OW 0 0 51 555 130 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 286 453 15 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 547 327 80 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 111 1068 1358 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 110 2742 656
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83605 15112 1499 451 35 0 0 0
OW 0 6 111 429 133 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 265 281 211 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 155 385 352 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 332 2118 108
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 44 821 2567
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84859 14503 1069 222 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 95 454 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 331 167 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 264 106 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 50 264 294 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 99 2580 3670
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83111 15518 1614 327 3 0 0 0
OW 0 14 74 438 29 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 36 277 154 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 68 165 117 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 126 264 259 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 119 2486 3827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83111 15520 1595 367 3 0 0 0
OW 0 12 97 421 46 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 31 252 134 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 69 175 108 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 130 279 244 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 118 2500 3827

Date: 2015-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83660 15577 891 384 4 0 0 0
OW 0 22 108 335 76 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 55 273 142 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 88 185 86 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 143 313 367 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 148 2495 3664
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83660 15584 898 302 49 0 0 0
OW 0 15 114 431 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 41 252 119 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 108 185 94 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 168 318 408 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 145 2452 3664

Date: 2015-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82141 16696 1339 206 21 2 0 0
OW 0 0 140 350 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 431 93 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 288 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 111 326 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 83 2760 3946
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82141 16667 1198 218 19 2 0 0
OW 0 28 188 393 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 81 240 138 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 127 156 98 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 176 264 596 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 84 2212 3946

Date: 2015-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82286 16341 1434 268 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 133 344 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 25 314 97 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 89 251 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 174 279 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 72 2638 4155
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82286 16264 1316 247 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 155 363 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 82 198 138 2 0 0
ODI 0 4 42 110 181 44 3 0
CDI 0 0 2 118 183 247 444 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 73 2300 4153

Date: 2015-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85016 13833 972 300 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 156 331 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 73 259 86 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 20 128 163 82 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 229 259 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 122 2577 4170
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85016 13699 916 272 0 0 0 0
OW 0 91 129 292 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 59 253 103 18 0 0
ODI 0 9 85 103 134 82 10 0
CDI 0 0 32 154 208 223 219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 40 148 2542 4170


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 31. mai 16:47:05 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy