Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-04-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61982 18046 2318 1197 283 375 0 0
OW 52 129 306 765 301 143 0 0
VODI 0 70 120 585 913 221 6 0
ODI 0 45 46 244 639 514 19 0
CDI 0 59 40 128 431 1067 94 0
VCDI 0 22 75 182 493 3565 8912 4713
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61601 18327 2341 1250 336 448 15 0
OW 51 160 278 832 390 135 23 0
VODI 0 80 164 601 806 184 50 0
ODI 0 50 70 215 527 555 49 0
CDI 0 48 46 147 416 1010 227 0
VCDI 0 40 98 163 374 2452 9046 5495
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61291 18712 2479 1556 385 356 2 0
OW 51 118 390 760 355 107 10 0
VODI 0 62 88 599 840 130 19 0
ODI 0 56 49 180 575 463 26 0
CDI 0 1 68 204 539 1495 346 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 349 2736 8569 5128
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61267 18168 2652 1666 476 405 0 0
OW 51 186 376 692 413 148 0 0
VODI 0 76 74 543 718 240 0 0
ODI 0 69 33 170 477 573 7 0
CDI 0 24 89 132 515 1530 162 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 566 2770 8470 5292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61267 18168 2644 1757 479 396 0 0
OW 51 177 353 616 367 163 0 0
VODI 0 84 101 519 695 224 0 0
ODI 0 69 35 176 472 505 6 0
CDI 0 25 91 126 558 1558 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 79 594 2820 8463 5292

Date: 2015-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60175 19252 2565 1633 413 447 0 0
OW 51 217 360 660 392 186 0 0
VODI 0 106 111 415 783 252 0 0
ODI 0 82 30 168 583 643 6 0
CDI 0 56 73 83 571 1303 119 0
VCDI 0 0 48 159 440 3091 8369 5258
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60175 19310 2575 1712 398 479 0 0
OW 51 149 345 560 372 178 0 0
VODI 0 93 109 430 698 199 0 0
ODI 0 88 33 162 599 520 8 0
CDI 0 72 57 95 628 1431 110 0
VCDI 0 1 68 159 487 3115 8376 5258

Date: 2015-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61748 18374 2503 1397 347 233 131 0
OW 50 201 375 686 359 104 80 0
VODI 0 29 116 472 694 157 91 0
ODI 0 15 57 122 705 621 51 0
CDI 0 0 42 180 751 1230 314 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 351 3019 8237 5240
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61747 18247 2436 1542 381 290 230 0
OW 51 158 325 494 295 129 72 0
VODI 0 88 137 366 610 193 44 0
ODI 0 57 51 174 536 454 103 0
CDI 0 58 61 120 818 1078 309 0
VCDI 0 11 83 179 567 3220 8146 5240

Date: 2015-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61346 18949 2589 1753 601 364 0 0
OW 62 213 295 683 501 130 0 0
VODI 0 55 109 361 1091 233 0 0
ODI 0 36 37 164 666 362 7 0
CDI 0 20 94 164 467 925 172 0
VCDI 0 0 2 72 495 4974 6721 4387
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61345 18798 2441 1678 723 570 0 0
OW 63 212 295 590 346 88 0 0
VODI 0 109 154 380 713 181 0 0
ODI 0 56 86 169 865 398 18 0
CDI 0 81 59 206 560 689 136 0
VCDI 0 17 91 174 614 5062 6746 4387

Date: 2015-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62602 17770 2354 1631 628 438 0 0
OW 62 270 496 579 590 187 0 0
VODI 0 46 117 315 908 541 0 0
ODI 0 32 27 164 489 686 13 0
CDI 0 15 74 235 534 1379 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 340 4124 7099 4118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62601 17660 2268 1750 883 724 0 0
OW 63 224 369 311 418 156 0 0
VODI 0 118 212 203 712 528 10 0
ODI 0 63 93 196 407 539 44 0
CDI 0 68 106 306 449 1073 206 0
VCDI 0 0 20 202 620 4335 7045 4118


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