Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-09-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2916 14569 851 76 0 0 0 0
OW 0 545 689 560 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 360 1563 147 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 43 555 1573 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 113 1346 1423 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 75 825 3017 725
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2840 14115 1073 110 0 0 0 0
OW 0 746 673 574 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 150 380 1393 142 7 0 0
ODI 0 7 61 598 1371 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 21 132 1269 1233 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 70 884 3247 887
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2751 14612 1412 205 0 0 0 0
OW 0 638 655 598 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 216 1608 228 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 212 1798 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 34 567 1390 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 869 3142 952
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3128 14500 1021 131 0 0 0 0
OW 0 829 692 696 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 281 1529 249 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 391 1448 117 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 27 810 1148 111 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 823 3109 946
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3128 14640 1147 251 0 0 0 0
OW 0 598 499 574 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 347 1517 277 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 403 1374 138 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 29 848 1120 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 830 3137 946

Date: 2014-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3138 14403 848 90 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1137 725 544 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 426 1424 307 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 432 902 483 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 744 975 291 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 540 3324 1157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3138 14547 1015 172 3 0 0 0
OW 0 828 532 496 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 296 451 1331 306 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 497 845 591 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 25 798 851 363 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 555 3252 1157

Date: 2014-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2562 15530 1013 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 382 1006 500 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 122 1669 169 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 212 1077 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 4 388 1411 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 409 3813 1579
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2562 14768 1001 150 2 0 0 0
OW 0 764 513 536 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 380 610 1144 379 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 522 722 384 196 0
CDI 0 0 1 76 432 951 659 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 80 526 3043 1579

Date: 2014-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2671 14928 1058 97 0 0 0 0
OW 0 815 879 466 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 292 1574 110 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 13 532 734 48 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 53 777 900 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 195 791 3371 1471
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2671 14357 1015 90 3 0 0 0
OW 0 760 398 465 20 1 0 0
VODI 0 653 708 1330 122 14 0 0
ODI 0 17 113 686 937 110 8 0
CDI 0 0 9 132 644 1239 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 106 384 3342 1471

Date: 2014-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2638 14836 921 47 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1312 619 206 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 553 1480 103 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 536 752 76 10 0
CDI 0 0 1 47 628 873 259 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 900 3909 1121
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2638 14179 991 143 17 0 0 0
OW 0 945 320 398 18 12 0 0
VODI 0 1110 580 949 158 20 7 0
ODI 0 74 180 612 820 108 12 0
CDI 0 0 37 179 423 1162 359 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 99 576 3800 1121


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