Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-08-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95906 37334 3771 956 26 2 0 0
OW 0 270 1003 1362 59 10 0 0
VODI 0 23 302 2251 792 29 4 0
ODI 0 0 114 838 1953 459 27 0
CDI 0 0 22 750 2963 2280 681 0
VCDI 0 0 0 143 839 4041 14548 13290
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94027 39790 3886 785 16 0 0 0
OW 0 453 860 1384 65 11 0 0
VODI 0 139 305 2217 704 47 9 0
ODI 0 34 163 795 1885 205 31 0
CDI 0 0 82 851 2974 2134 914 0
VCDI 0 0 0 307 1047 4339 12870 13719
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93952 40951 3974 840 22 0 0 0
OW 0 85 725 1461 32 5 0 0
VODI 0 3 192 2951 538 20 1 0
ODI 0 0 49 768 2378 113 4 0
CDI 0 0 8 683 3149 2432 574 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 336 3182 12862 14745
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92501 41905 4532 803 28 0 0 0
OW 0 171 756 1617 50 2 0 0
VODI 0 16 239 2631 649 20 3 0
ODI 0 0 81 755 1995 197 12 0
CDI 0 0 49 861 2712 2448 773 13
VCDI 0 0 0 141 628 4495 11509 14456
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92501 41790 4459 931 36 0 0 0
OW 0 280 809 1467 57 5 0 0
VODI 0 22 269 2589 718 26 5 0
ODI 0 0 71 811 1879 207 14 0
CDI 0 0 49 896 2799 2432 740 24
VCDI 0 0 0 114 573 4492 11538 14445

Date: 2014-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91662 42880 3795 998 19 0 0 0
OW 0 305 792 1559 163 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 351 2396 760 15 5 0
ODI 0 0 70 960 1738 152 44 0
CDI 0 0 16 1015 3324 2286 915 67
VCDI 0 0 0 129 607 4157 16437 9425
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91662 42787 3796 1055 26 0 0 0
OW 0 390 768 1480 147 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 404 2443 826 33 8 0
ODI 0 0 45 976 1625 139 48 0
CDI 0 0 11 984 3451 2292 920 67
VCDI 0 0 0 119 536 4146 16425 9425

Date: 2014-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93858 40580 4054 710 12 0 0 0
OW 0 184 1146 1556 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 271 3219 479 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 39 979 3418 96 8 1
CDI 0 0 0 234 2403 3841 188 7
VCDI 0 0 0 12 175 3386 14528 11634
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93858 40238 3952 1080 30 0 0 0
OW 0 444 745 1425 183 3 0 0
VODI 0 84 540 2095 1008 57 2 0
ODI 0 0 124 962 1354 212 67 7
CDI 0 0 149 1113 3231 2428 1316 39
VCDI 0 0 0 35 704 4628 13339 11596

Date: 2014-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92715 42255 3743 803 14 0 0 0
OW 0 228 1077 1535 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 448 2584 566 1 1 0
ODI 0 0 80 1145 2657 157 22 4
CDI 0 0 6 604 2977 3257 464 56
VCDI 0 0 0 54 253 3676 15043 10543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92715 41433 3500 904 26 0 0 0
OW 0 729 722 1252 196 0 0 0
VODI 0 297 738 1924 690 37 0 0
ODI 0 34 221 1088 1293 152 23 7
CDI 0 0 173 1431 3517 2235 1265 134
VCDI 0 0 0 126 815 4667 14242 10462

Date: 2014-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89344 45197 3908 485 0 0 0 0
OW 0 635 1263 1327 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 748 2507 312 5 3 1
ODI 0 1 165 1356 2177 42 36 12
CDI 0 0 71 832 3102 2791 961 133
VCDI 0 0 0 30 223 2777 13175 13303
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89344 44144 3660 724 31 0 0 0
OW 0 868 875 898 123 0 0 0
VODI 0 689 953 1707 479 23 0 0
ODI 0 164 332 1351 921 191 20 1
CDI 0 49 299 1649 3211 1797 1904 360
VCDI 0 0 36 208 1094 3604 12251 13088


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ti. 30. mai 07:42:23 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy