Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-07-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133 8048 1910 732 5 0 0 0
OW 0 15 255 1058 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 33 879 1673 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 113 2688 1651 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 1228 7989 867 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1650 922 7
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 179 9054 1532 413 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 400 892 151 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 53 1238 1514 205 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 215 1998 2063 261 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 1415 4257 4203 53
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 728 1003 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 559 9633 1318 382 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 349 755 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 78 1533 568 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 518 3042 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 1663 2937 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 2744 4033 1625
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 478 9932 1602 431 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 314 913 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 63 1288 880 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 406 2726 255 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 2825 1943 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1546 2996 3216 56
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 478 9910 1567 502 2 0 0 0
OW 0 46 321 829 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 92 1285 958 23 0 0
ODI 0 2 10 406 2671 269 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 2820 1875 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1516 3043 3207 56

Date: 2014-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 436 10553 1411 366 12 0 0 0
OW 0 54 549 788 163 12 0 0
VODI 0 15 121 1390 807 78 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 422 2320 311 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 2894 1957 489 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1493 2565 2320 455
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 436 10512 1480 465 24 0 0 0
OW 0 91 423 725 199 6 0 0
VODI 0 19 177 1321 973 71 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 455 2120 349 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 2959 1954 481 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1414 2543 2317 455

Date: 2014-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 616 11152 1508 174 3 0 0 0
OW 0 71 533 825 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 23 2031 523 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 136 2963 135 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 3221 5717 171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 874 1336 40
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 616 11024 1347 576 58 0 0 0
OW 0 110 437 592 319 5 0 0
VODI 0 93 265 1159 1028 304 0 0
ODI 0 1 15 721 1189 489 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 119 3224 2473 194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 916 3455 1313 40

Date: 2014-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 357 11613 1975 287 5 0 0 0
OW 0 21 421 971 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 28 1800 654 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 173 2527 519 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 3244 4240 1231 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 264 1159 530
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 357 11384 1514 654 131 0 0 0
OW 0 124 472 492 367 3 0 0
VODI 0 128 370 983 1010 306 0 0
ODI 0 0 68 799 1041 349 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 308 3260 2133 796 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 675 2232 1594 532

Date: 2014-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 733 11836 1736 327 1 0 0 0
OW 0 67 499 1095 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 104 1409 922 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 150 2458 639 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 4084 3473 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 334 1078 913 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 733 11418 1259 718 112 2 0 0
OW 0 199 453 464 305 21 0 0
VODI 0 228 468 864 1081 211 9 0
ODI 0 58 131 599 978 367 34 0
CDI 0 2 36 371 3874 2513 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1483 2082 933 0


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