Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-07-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3949 10111 2031 1053 36 0 0 0
OW 0 17 140 930 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 2 862 1103 17 0 0
ODI 11 7 1 29 2900 344 44 0
CDI 31 40 3 58 2219 3799 2658 0
VCDI 23 72 2 70 367 2882 9057 913
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4941 9430 1815 1149 90 0 0 0
OW 0 60 177 737 338 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 33 559 1391 267 1 0
ODI 0 0 7 40 1963 685 256 0
CDI 0 0 24 74 1392 2290 5057 10
VCDI 0 0 0 36 334 4154 7739 817
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3403 11190 1931 1060 44 0 0 0
OW 0 4 174 587 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 681 188 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 15 304 2096 186 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 124 2591 2385 1652 66
VCDI 0 0 0 15 127 2269 8950 5742
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6341 8718 1947 812 8 0 0 0
OW 0 31 203 550 39 1 0 0
VODI 0 10 65 745 186 51 0 0
ODI 0 30 8 631 1584 488 3 0
CDI 0 85 1 114 2251 3595 863 0
VCDI 0 21 0 47 1080 1637 7578 6143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6341 8711 1896 919 10 0 0 0
OW 0 36 245 438 43 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 63 806 185 43 0 0
ODI 0 40 19 577 1534 505 9 0
CDI 0 87 1 117 2372 3796 932 0
VCDI 0 15 0 42 1004 1427 7503 6143

Date: 2014-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6810 8586 1771 764 8 0 0 0
OW 0 4 255 572 52 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 33 896 180 90 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1123 1454 135 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 158 3339 2631 1030 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 986 1714 8703 4543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6810 8574 1722 872 8 0 0 0
OW 0 16 284 488 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 49 897 188 82 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 1092 1392 195 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 161 3444 2700 1159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 938 1595 8574 4543

Date: 2014-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7018 8851 1484 634 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 291 520 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 31 1135 172 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 13 243 2954 149 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 22 2385 3753 140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 183 1733 9487 4608
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7018 8775 1344 780 8 0 0 0
OW 0 76 273 435 46 5 0 0
VODI 0 1 144 780 277 122 0 0
ODI 0 0 43 462 1794 444 8 0
CDI 0 0 23 97 3022 3371 1610 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 561 1704 8009 4608

Date: 2014-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7196 8840 1524 804 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 242 656 35 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 19 1025 294 33 1 0
ODI 0 0 12 688 2015 153 9 0
CDI 0 0 8 78 2443 3026 592 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 578 2618 7307 5638
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7196 8753 1322 889 15 4 0 0
OW 0 87 254 379 63 39 0 0
VODI 0 0 169 1006 188 113 11 0
ODI 0 0 38 852 1224 402 26 0
CDI 0 0 22 125 3390 3380 1791 1
VCDI 0 0 0 24 485 1900 6081 5637

Date: 2014-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8047 8023 1764 839 9 0 0 0
OW 0 77 357 420 91 4 0 0
VODI 0 10 138 1018 442 48 17 0
ODI 0 1 10 657 1643 294 50 0
CDI 0 0 6 67 1880 2354 1560 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 297 479 6974 8275
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8047 7885 1629 871 40 5 0 0
OW 0 177 300 264 59 28 16 0
VODI 0 28 314 1048 216 79 27 0
ODI 0 21 15 670 1074 223 166 0
CDI 0 0 14 147 2684 2751 3699 14
VCDI 0 0 3 16 289 93 4693 8261


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