Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66008 18469 2772 2257 384 8 2 0
OW 45 25 32 727 767 29 7 0
VODI 0 2 29 348 1399 284 9 0
ODI 0 0 7 123 1049 464 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 1268 3572 544 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 839 7351 179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67010 18191 2386 2324 520 3 4 0
OW 45 31 31 751 888 96 10 0
VODI 0 1 38 346 1076 317 35 0
ODI 0 0 9 116 921 444 89 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 1370 2938 613 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 929 5874 1603
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67560 17826 2575 2239 405 9 0 0
OW 42 8 47 876 612 25 1 0
VODI 0 0 6 535 1060 130 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 167 1821 424 80 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 949 2936 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1853 5094 1521
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67484 18438 2594 2392 237 1 0 0
OW 42 32 88 1090 457 11 1 0
VODI 0 0 20 525 1195 51 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 219 1752 416 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 1166 2395 77 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 1462 6063 792
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67484 18462 2608 2492 336 1 0 0
OW 42 8 66 962 521 20 1 0
VODI 0 0 28 564 1066 64 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 206 1676 406 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 1232 2421 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 1424 6063 792

Date: 2014-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67454 18860 2392 2611 478 4 0 0
OW 36 12 104 853 657 35 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 752 982 156 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 302 1378 566 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 1171 1576 314 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 84 1867 6161 189
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67454 18862 2416 2762 635 3 0 0
OW 36 10 77 705 645 48 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 728 958 177 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 320 1224 555 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 1252 1663 350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 36 1758 6130 189

Date: 2014-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68921 18080 2448 2269 353 0 0 0
OW 43 1 63 942 299 2 3 0
VODI 0 0 0 1034 713 13 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 168 1590 207 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 545 1880 227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 2363 6680 142
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68923 18078 2400 2647 672 9 5 0
OW 41 3 104 737 567 48 10 0
VODI 0 0 7 663 1008 223 37 0
ODI 0 0 0 360 688 423 357 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 600 1272 1676 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 33 2490 4839 142

Date: 2014-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68728 18139 2840 2672 312 6 0 0
OW 36 5 43 1030 309 27 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 901 878 58 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 125 1123 201 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 69 924 1485 190 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 2442 6040 492
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68730 18138 2779 3214 612 64 5 0
OW 34 6 102 768 513 49 6 0
VODI 0 0 3 590 1045 138 33 0
ODI 0 0 0 146 737 351 256 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 628 1385 1365 2
VCDI 0 0 0 8 24 2232 4576 490

Date: 2014-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69542 17747 2702 2840 319 1 0 0
OW 21 5 26 1135 283 11 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 560 1205 52 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 846 297 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 122 699 1980 801 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2682 5060 71
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69542 17748 2710 3522 645 23 6 0
OW 21 4 18 747 611 47 5 0
VODI 0 0 0 274 1069 202 152 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 568 505 194 0
CDI 0 0 0 134 437 1156 1690 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 32 3090 3836 71


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