Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64280 18313 2819 2119 290 2 5 0
OW 52 26 84 656 421 57 8 0
VODI 0 32 169 477 783 329 71 0
ODI 0 12 70 404 1284 555 132 0
CDI 0 0 14 129 1596 2945 493 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 1071 4117 5186
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65274 18182 2453 1825 420 31 3 0
OW 55 61 201 616 398 100 22 0
VODI 0 111 116 585 941 278 84 0
ODI 0 34 79 325 1043 438 102 0
CDI 0 0 33 147 1503 2799 838 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 290 746 4605 4362
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65772 18151 2835 2170 390 6 0 0
OW 50 17 78 659 349 28 0 0
VODI 0 0 41 473 1207 99 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 115 1779 474 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 1537 3941 362 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1204 6949 388
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66090 17990 2967 2234 423 12 0 0
OW 49 21 37 738 607 44 2 0
VODI 0 0 34 355 1488 188 8 0
ODI 0 0 2 131 1285 394 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 1512 3761 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 967 7328 102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66090 17983 2973 2265 437 14 0 0
OW 49 24 19 697 624 37 2 0
VODI 0 4 34 361 1527 239 9 0
ODI 0 0 14 116 1193 375 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 1521 3697 236 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 1004 7331 102

Date: 2014-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66394 18621 2542 2192 423 3 3 0
OW 45 26 34 685 835 92 7 0
VODI 0 0 32 344 1223 393 19 0
ODI 0 0 7 135 893 486 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 1173 3234 770 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 756 7165 454
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66394 18604 2532 2217 482 8 5 0
OW 45 35 31 678 898 137 8 0
VODI 0 8 35 311 1077 383 16 0
ODI 0 0 17 127 879 489 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 1201 3226 791 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 721 7140 454

Date: 2014-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67644 17882 2460 2009 177 2 0 0
OW 44 29 85 934 406 16 3 0
VODI 0 5 24 652 1032 70 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 131 2221 311 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 871 3264 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 2181 5735 712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67644 17821 2410 2468 575 44 4 0
OW 44 61 98 719 827 149 8 0
VODI 0 31 24 355 786 215 17 0
ODI 0 3 31 108 1067 475 43 0
CDI 0 0 6 80 1375 2671 544 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 94 2290 5301 712

Date: 2014-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67769 17681 2537 2267 569 19 0 0
OW 42 8 45 826 742 31 2 0
VODI 0 0 14 450 1087 213 20 0
ODI 0 0 0 197 1619 521 87 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 1283 2319 245 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 1524 4877 2066
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67769 17594 2504 2663 1205 52 6 0
OW 42 51 24 533 813 138 32 0
VODI 0 40 24 252 715 225 28 0
ODI 0 4 34 181 1166 532 93 0
CDI 0 0 10 104 1305 2106 342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 123 1574 4730 2066

Date: 2014-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66273 19740 2696 2454 338 2 0 0
OW 38 9 91 955 542 37 0 0
VODI 0 0 14 636 1011 167 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 251 1448 649 62 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 727 1990 591 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 55 1959 6248 78
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66268 19666 2670 2873 993 52 4 0
OW 43 48 58 564 443 96 15 0
VODI 0 35 49 424 598 214 38 0
ODI 0 0 24 349 1016 750 143 0
CDI 0 0 0 113 1008 1675 534 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 2017 6179 78


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh ma. 29. mai 20:42:25 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy