Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 71 5 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 145 102 96 15
VCDI 0 0 0 69 459 2781 15783 26297
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 66 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 54 56 14 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 151 158 126 49
VCDI 0 0 0 37 424 2927 15381 26385
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 16 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 92 32 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 209 215 172 21
VCDI 0 0 0 86 902 3908 17885 22251
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 39 8 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 85 26 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 229 281 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 63 1027 5507 18710 19558
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 42 4 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 95 26 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 88 238 273 187 0
VCDI 0 0 0 51 1008 5519 18694 19558

Date: 2014-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 4 29 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 17 39 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 38 16 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 90 60 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 230 529 177 1
VCDI 0 0 0 40 763 5531 18592 19520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 3 23 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 16 37 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 38 48 12 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 81 104 109 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 72 239 526 231 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 738 5492 18538 19521

Date: 2014-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 43 11 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 78 63 21 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 70 124 15 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 358 451 128 5
VCDI 0 0 0 39 869 4835 18089 20547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 4 11 8 0 0
OW 0 0 0 13 15 28 1 0
VODI 0 0 4 63 56 12 13 0
ODI 0 0 9 71 100 71 23 0
CDI 0 0 1 107 267 446 502 6
VCDI 0 0 0 51 979 4774 17685 20546

Date: 2014-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 8 13 21 0 0
OW 0 0 0 31 13 32 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 62 24 20 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 83 23 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 387 376 140 8
VCDI 0 0 0 73 927 3773 17512 22204
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 10 40 0 0
OW 0 0 0 12 10 33 8 0
VODI 0 0 0 62 33 14 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 68 85 41 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 347 549 494 23
VCDI 0 0 0 73 962 3568 17128 22189

Date: 2014-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 36 23 0 0
OW 0 0 0 20 11 26 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 43 17 19 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 54 75 14 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 157 377 325 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 139 948 4082 16935 22379
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 26 44 3 0
OW 0 0 0 5 19 30 13 0
VODI 0 0 0 48 33 15 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 92 56 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 138 355 320 307 6
VCDI 0 0 0 156 939 4024 16757 22373


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