Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65416 16940 471 832 402 142 55 0
OW 52 419 139 337 239 153 15 0
VODI 0 165 98 392 565 243 38 0
ODI 0 68 31 178 484 500 69 0
CDI 0 33 43 191 581 1390 485 0
VCDI 0 25 16 79 325 3002 10331 4156
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64883 17095 507 808 480 215 53 0
OW 52 374 142 356 244 178 35 0
VODI 0 151 89 373 529 346 64 0
ODI 0 59 32 199 401 584 125 0
CDI 0 21 28 151 558 1501 554 0
VCDI 0 40 23 48 248 2482 9842 5230
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65820 16461 420 653 343 149 37 0
OW 53 391 159 426 220 148 10 0
VODI 0 118 105 526 385 396 14 0
ODI 0 26 27 196 480 450 61 0
CDI 0 9 12 79 526 1228 399 0
VCDI 0 2 5 34 228 3064 11351 4089
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65001 17063 440 669 466 205 29 0
OW 54 421 144 389 221 169 10 0
VODI 0 183 115 352 358 376 45 0
ODI 0 55 31 163 308 396 91 0
CDI 0 23 14 114 389 726 320 0
VCDI 0 17 10 43 272 3104 11376 4938
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65001 17092 469 755 495 217 29 0
OW 54 397 124 334 224 194 15 0
VODI 0 179 106 328 350 365 51 0
ODI 0 50 28 160 287 402 102 0
CDI 0 31 17 101 356 682 332 0
VCDI 0 13 10 52 302 3116 11342 4938

Date: 2024-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63824 17838 542 746 403 223 25 0
OW 53 406 147 420 244 144 33 0
VODI 0 173 74 353 418 239 125 0
ODI 0 52 40 141 335 347 130 0
CDI 0 35 17 102 300 603 267 0
VCDI 0 17 14 98 608 3640 10821 5103
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63824 17906 568 850 441 251 33 0
OW 53 356 124 360 234 148 61 0
VODI 0 159 79 316 423 243 120 0
ODI 0 44 30 131 309 360 134 0
CDI 0 34 15 93 265 585 248 0
VCDI 0 22 18 110 636 3609 10805 5103

Date: 2024-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63461 18359 556 623 331 197 68 0
OW 56 350 174 401 180 96 30 0
VODI 0 130 76 386 417 243 51 0
ODI 0 29 38 149 339 387 146 0
CDI 0 6 24 98 271 656 460 0
VCDI 0 0 9 71 660 2829 11684 5059
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63462 18226 599 817 457 313 120 0
OW 55 324 99 279 226 194 109 0
VODI 0 205 63 266 315 312 174 0
ODI 0 65 51 118 206 300 201 0
CDI 0 33 28 108 209 406 311 0
VCDI 0 21 37 140 785 2883 11524 5059

Date: 2024-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64975 17144 465 602 343 225 77 0
OW 55 360 130 362 190 93 60 0
VODI 0 185 73 260 322 279 102 0
ODI 0 84 37 140 193 252 242 0
CDI 0 63 35 100 251 386 437 0
VCDI 0 17 31 159 674 2425 11026 6246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64976 16882 469 762 480 387 149 0
OW 54 389 81 202 227 207 162 0
VODI 0 271 83 173 244 273 253 0
ODI 0 129 50 119 124 248 272 0
CDI 0 97 30 145 162 318 471 0
VCDI 0 85 58 222 736 2227 10637 6246

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64490 17452 435 668 408 310 126 0
OW 53 409 111 244 207 126 91 0
VODI 0 206 96 243 240 276 218 0
ODI 0 85 52 107 220 201 355 0
CDI 0 61 34 152 206 340 681 0
VCDI 0 45 20 190 520 1656 10580 7186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64490 16893 444 722 528 635 359 0
OW 53 587 76 225 179 131 243 0
VODI 0 354 80 147 223 198 331 0
ODI 0 124 53 112 144 172 376 0
CDI 0 87 39 117 139 185 571 2
VCDI 0 213 56 281 588 1588 10171 7184


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