Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66003 16827 470 657 387 99 82 0
OW 53 532 151 348 221 85 26 0
VODI 0 291 95 355 421 191 72 0
ODI 0 177 53 181 429 312 150 0
CDI 0 118 76 221 539 617 405 0
VCDI 0 84 49 306 1034 5618 32302 57011
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66473 16646 336 574 257 134 73 0
OW 53 684 155 260 160 104 30 0
VODI 0 460 143 403 239 178 70 0
ODI 0 235 92 324 297 262 134 0
CDI 0 213 62 222 368 538 392 0
VCDI 0 262 135 358 1088 6540 30918 57176
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65371 17306 451 671 414 191 79 0
OW 52 539 195 404 243 86 5 0
VODI 0 362 110 456 526 204 32 0
ODI 0 121 75 244 598 317 110 0
CDI 0 103 41 170 597 987 464 25
VCDI 0 198 52 181 710 6425 33514 54419
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65977 17027 342 648 261 226 58 0
OW 52 937 145 368 156 66 12 0
VODI 0 555 138 414 328 141 58 0
ODI 0 296 74 233 506 219 106 0
CDI 0 180 65 172 486 547 444 12
VCDI 0 214 99 401 1321 6313 33841 53610
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65977 17135 358 716 286 229 56 0
OW 52 907 144 338 139 63 18 0
VODI 0 485 130 394 345 142 55 0
ODI 0 269 64 201 537 209 97 0
CDI 0 182 62 166 422 521 419 6
VCDI 0 231 105 421 1329 6348 33874 53616

Date: 2024-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66566 16377 403 565 224 149 40 0
OW 52 743 107 360 174 81 10 0
VODI 0 596 184 446 333 152 62 0
ODI 0 276 70 337 460 232 110 0
CDI 0 237 64 219 593 679 364 3
VCDI 0 230 94 486 1232 7505 31228 55005
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66566 16358 407 614 227 155 42 0
OW 52 776 114 341 181 78 12 0
VODI 0 569 162 459 371 153 65 0
ODI 0 257 91 297 482 249 101 0
CDI 0 225 48 221 518 643 333 4
VCDI 0 274 100 481 1237 7520 31261 55004

Date: 2024-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65235 17398 481 680 288 133 81 0
OW 52 639 215 401 218 66 3 0
VODI 0 231 155 600 541 185 16 0
ODI 0 58 56 271 787 391 70 0
CDI 0 25 42 236 745 1297 441 2
VCDI 0 14 23 146 702 6300 31815 56009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65235 16973 460 784 409 171 81 0
OW 52 606 166 321 288 120 6 0
VODI 0 393 131 415 456 230 47 0
ODI 0 162 69 212 539 312 77 0
CDI 0 127 52 225 502 786 390 14
VCDI 0 104 94 377 1087 6753 31825 55997

Date: 2024-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65759 17169 429 716 293 152 47 0
OW 52 502 178 378 211 125 9 0
VODI 0 229 141 515 469 262 23 0
ODI 0 91 45 288 408 442 68 0
CDI 0 52 46 252 692 1320 363 4
VCDI 0 21 43 153 462 5197 29425 60017
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65758 16557 409 843 403 215 52 0
OW 53 650 132 237 252 153 16 0
VODI 0 394 120 362 322 276 45 0
ODI 0 173 65 281 306 394 74 0
CDI 0 152 69 254 511 1163 377 16
VCDI 0 138 87 325 741 5297 29371 60005

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65416 17180 484 836 402 142 55 0
OW 52 456 146 342 239 153 15 0
VODI 0 212 101 403 571 243 38 0
ODI 0 103 40 192 501 502 69 0
CDI 0 49 56 209 596 1460 524 0
VCDI 0 33 21 125 502 4313 26900 63367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65415 16739 436 882 525 217 57 0
OW 53 601 127 287 291 149 31 0
VODI 0 312 108 275 433 321 37 0
ODI 0 160 53 149 322 478 103 0
CDI 0 130 67 257 430 1081 401 1
VCDI 0 91 57 257 810 4567 26972 63366


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