Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67698 15775 495 558 224 169 41 0
OW 61 533 136 391 174 35 8 0
VODI 0 270 73 323 426 80 23 0
ODI 0 134 37 131 483 246 46 0
CDI 0 138 60 82 391 590 222 0
VCDI 0 251 112 407 586 3519 10390 3782
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66689 16628 389 505 207 193 53 0
OW 66 618 159 342 168 39 26 0
VODI 0 292 98 338 341 110 40 0
ODI 0 168 40 167 379 222 82 0
CDI 0 150 39 77 360 682 240 0
VCDI 0 411 146 403 570 3488 10988 3187
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67255 16607 428 490 161 144 78 0
OW 89 515 116 289 203 22 11 0
VODI 2 345 135 275 329 112 16 0
ODI 0 166 54 188 408 258 42 0
CDI 0 175 59 167 346 842 311 0
VCDI 0 155 127 367 601 3408 8568 5236
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65538 17876 414 537 218 156 91 0
OW 61 507 136 310 219 64 4 0
VODI 0 327 84 250 397 156 17 0
ODI 0 199 25 152 302 283 76 0
CDI 0 172 57 143 475 860 266 0
VCDI 0 220 128 411 629 3064 10027 4249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65538 17930 443 594 248 164 91 0
OW 61 444 112 277 224 53 5 0
VODI 0 316 78 229 393 159 18 0
ODI 0 206 26 150 276 269 66 0
CDI 0 164 54 128 475 852 249 0
VCDI 0 241 131 425 624 3086 10052 4249

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64663 18131 553 814 260 150 66 0
OW 62 413 160 407 215 31 14 0
VODI 0 248 111 327 410 104 29 0
ODI 0 144 48 176 334 264 45 0
CDI 0 149 55 163 456 763 189 0
VCDI 0 174 88 437 564 3300 9206 5377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64663 18163 584 885 271 153 66 0
OW 62 358 125 358 234 28 12 0
VODI 0 248 111 290 387 113 29 0
ODI 0 159 49 190 320 265 48 0
CDI 0 148 52 158 468 710 187 0
VCDI 0 183 94 443 559 3343 9207 5377

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64350 18800 485 629 195 80 89 0
OW 61 582 280 495 140 38 10 0
VODI 0 166 125 548 375 101 23 0
ODI 0 66 44 267 540 358 40 0
CDI 0 40 18 187 421 1255 293 0
VCDI 0 34 27 168 460 2529 8967 5814
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64349 18532 509 761 263 117 97 0
OW 62 416 171 305 176 84 18 0
VODI 0 283 104 381 303 195 29 0
ODI 0 157 44 236 320 301 49 0
CDI 0 143 61 189 439 727 199 0
VCDI 0 157 90 422 630 2937 9030 5814

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65375 17847 399 636 197 103 86 0
OW 57 661 184 423 177 38 10 0
VODI 0 338 161 377 391 154 19 0
ODI 0 157 62 210 375 299 32 0
CDI 0 72 52 218 348 532 174 0
VCDI 0 57 33 234 572 3773 8981 5286
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65375 17635 412 691 304 151 92 0
OW 57 532 130 276 187 101 17 0
VODI 0 346 109 286 251 226 29 0
ODI 0 189 75 215 305 268 44 0
CDI 0 180 60 170 302 611 226 0
VCDI 0 250 105 460 711 3542 8894 5286

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66431 17014 358 430 167 108 44 0
OW 57 744 139 348 155 74 6 0
VODI 0 594 136 327 306 161 23 0
ODI 0 207 61 211 269 259 48 0
CDI 0 168 72 185 265 426 256 0
VCDI 0 191 86 427 870 3215 12153 2109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66430 16835 433 624 229 182 50 0
OW 58 656 72 271 225 85 18 0
VODI 0 428 103 214 302 196 54 0
ODI 0 256 54 133 228 266 70 0
CDI 0 203 50 136 195 445 174 0
VCDI 0 540 140 550 853 3069 12164 2109


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