Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 34 56 2 0 0 0
OW 0 10 7 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 5 16 9 2 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 15 13 3 0 0
CDI 0 3 3 13 32 20 42 6
VCDI 0 0 0 5 48 452 8587 22603
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 18 47 59 0 0 0
OW 0 6 8 15 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 10 13 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 6 11 1 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 8 21 36 28 3
VCDI 0 0 2 9 46 311 6409 24967
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 18 37 58 7 0 0
OW 0 12 5 6 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 5 7 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 4 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 6 23 22 6 8
VCDI 0 3 6 13 56 450 8460 22790
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 7 20 52 21 0 0
OW 0 4 4 14 12 7 0 0
VODI 0 9 11 11 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 6 4 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 29 4 6 11 41 73 0
VCDI 0 41 19 47 67 524 9751 21244
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 7 24 59 28 0 0
OW 0 4 5 11 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 10 10 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 3 5 1 0 0
CDI 0 28 4 7 11 39 77 0
VCDI 0 43 19 47 67 525 9747 21244

Date: 2024-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 17 10 20 38 15 0 0
OW 0 13 5 14 3 20 0 0
VODI 0 25 8 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 7 3 2 16 5 0
CDI 0 20 5 13 4 57 70 16
VCDI 0 119 21 33 89 585 11978 18829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 11 25 40 27 0 0
OW 0 15 5 9 1 8 0 0
VODI 0 21 6 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 7 2 2 17 5 0
CDI 0 18 6 12 2 55 72 16
VCDI 0 122 21 34 91 586 11976 18829

Date: 2024-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 7 11 21 17 0 0
OW 0 22 2 0 8 13 0 0
VODI 0 26 2 4 2 11 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 3 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 23 9 11 14 32 64 0
VCDI 0 17 13 36 78 520 11682 19346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 24 7 11 27 27 0 0
OW 0 24 1 0 2 14 0 0
VODI 0 29 2 3 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 1 3 2 4 0 0
CDI 0 22 1 8 7 41 66 0
VCDI 0 53 23 40 85 507 11680 19346

Date: 2024-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 14 32 26 5 0 0
OW 0 28 1 2 14 12 0 0
VODI 0 27 4 1 1 8 1 0
ODI 0 26 3 2 0 2 1 0
CDI 0 25 3 7 1 9 48 7
VCDI 0 15 13 29 55 328 5521 25778
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 14 5 26 35 13 0 0
OW 0 14 7 3 6 12 1 0
VODI 0 25 6 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 3 3 0 8 3 0
CDI 0 28 1 7 3 4 49 51
VCDI 0 46 16 29 53 327 5518 25734

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 19 35 13 0 0 0
OW 0 24 7 18 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 7 7 11 11 1 0
ODI 0 32 1 1 2 2 4 0
CDI 0 35 4 7 8 51 101 5
VCDI 0 98 29 57 67 462 11548 19354
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 12 41 30 0 0 0
OW 0 11 6 6 11 9 0 0
VODI 0 18 9 7 7 19 2 0
ODI 0 31 4 5 0 27 16 0
CDI 0 39 2 2 2 43 66 9
VCDI 0 125 34 64 68 428 11570 19350


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