Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 21 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 122 73 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 229 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 222 358 27 0
VCDI 0 0 15 125 426 3476 13980 26592
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 7 24 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 84 128 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 7 142 320 38 0
VCDI 0 7 6 65 469 3265 16453 24840
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 22 35 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 13 32 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 122 350 42 11
VCDI 0 1 3 82 403 3459 17237 24042
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 18 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 10 47 8 0
CDI 0 0 1 6 30 197 42 0
VCDI 0 9 13 59 372 2691 15522 26829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 10 54 13 0
CDI 0 0 1 5 28 197 59 0
VCDI 0 9 13 60 376 2696 15507 26829

Date: 2024-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 10 16 14 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 45 32 12 0
ODI 0 1 3 17 53 51 22 0
CDI 0 5 5 44 273 276 71 1
VCDI 0 15 17 86 747 3494 16989 23567
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 8 13 12 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 44 22 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 72 48 19 0
CDI 0 6 7 47 249 305 105 1
VCDI 0 15 18 90 755 3481 16964 23567

Date: 2024-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 0 3 13 6 1 0
ODI 0 11 11 43 115 61 4 0
CDI 0 8 8 60 307 279 71 1
VCDI 0 9 25 134 833 3777 16558 23521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 19 47 25 0
ODI 0 5 4 13 42 90 42 0
CDI 0 8 8 75 310 341 123 0
VCDI 0 22 32 152 897 3645 16444 23522

Date: 2024-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 35 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 0 33 44 0
CDI 0 2 2 32 183 255 82 0
VCDI 0 2 15 74 700 4431 16174 23779
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 4 27 43 0
CDI 0 2 3 18 164 391 190 8
VCDI 0 2 14 86 715 4336 16078 23771

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 21 16 0
ODI 0 1 0 9 24 40 25 0
CDI 0 2 3 18 167 176 68 0
VCDI 0 2 3 64 643 3057 13834 27693
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 17 3 3 0
CDI 0 1 1 15 84 150 150 0
VCDI 0 4 5 71 733 3141 13790 27693


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