Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75759 12033 224 242 105 106 239 0
OW 75 595 99 161 69 18 38 0
VODI 0 363 107 203 156 53 30 0
ODI 0 153 56 168 207 74 30 0
CDI 0 92 33 136 265 242 104 0
VCDI 0 79 43 173 738 3782 8478 3572
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74852 12631 203 253 132 134 200 0
OW 77 839 58 93 70 12 41 0
VODI 3 576 110 146 102 35 34 0
ODI 1 217 85 195 142 60 21 0
CDI 1 147 55 168 270 233 60 0
VCDI 0 172 87 316 797 3609 8759 3104
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73818 14169 269 228 88 106 119 0
OW 82 557 138 209 46 6 28 0
VODI 2 285 136 344 143 23 40 0
ODI 2 120 67 225 215 58 31 0
CDI 0 38 48 175 429 336 61 0
VCDI 0 41 37 172 669 2860 10650 2030
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73408 13694 288 313 136 118 97 0
OW 98 579 111 234 143 24 24 0
VODI 0 379 80 203 237 51 28 0
ODI 0 196 69 160 221 69 26 0
CDI 0 83 64 181 273 261 52 0
VCDI 0 11 29 201 601 3094 10542 2722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73400 13765 301 357 200 127 96 0
OW 105 502 104 212 108 22 22 0
VODI 1 373 73 187 214 47 28 0
ODI 0 196 68 139 200 64 25 0
CDI 0 86 64 180 262 227 43 0
VCDI 0 20 31 217 627 3130 10555 2722

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71411 14508 360 450 213 101 152 0
OW 74 623 121 202 244 36 24 0
VODI 0 327 73 205 307 141 35 0
ODI 0 174 66 115 257 182 18 0
CDI 0 80 61 158 294 382 102 0
VCDI 0 11 24 158 383 2961 10954 3113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71411 14650 374 494 294 116 148 0
OW 74 489 104 151 215 50 23 0
VODI 0 314 71 200 267 130 36 0
ODI 0 170 68 109 234 166 20 0
CDI 0 90 63 157 253 353 86 0
VCDI 0 10 25 177 435 2988 10972 3113

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69814 16552 488 393 184 80 74 0
OW 74 359 129 242 163 43 2 0
VODI 0 120 93 266 341 129 2 0
ODI 0 9 44 165 373 286 7 0
CDI 0 5 4 97 372 770 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 234 2664 9858 4560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69828 15954 444 405 306 157 78 0
OW 60 551 90 131 131 92 2 0
VODI 0 357 100 197 195 159 8 0
ODI 0 133 63 154 210 188 4 0
CDI 0 44 46 151 323 353 48 0
VCDI 0 6 15 150 502 3023 9882 4560

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70629 15517 368 494 229 80 73 0
OW 78 380 131 204 195 78 8 0
VODI 2 163 118 231 213 156 30 0
ODI 0 29 45 164 229 229 25 0
CDI 0 15 27 92 310 396 81 0
VCDI 0 0 7 80 518 3200 9596 4680
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70644 15042 280 407 280 171 87 0
OW 61 540 111 161 119 90 18 0
VODI 4 356 142 195 169 161 27 0
ODI 0 127 93 174 150 180 53 0
CDI 0 39 56 186 347 435 123 0
VCDI 0 0 14 142 629 3102 9505 4680

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70717 15222 320 426 226 91 92 0
OW 60 503 119 177 182 74 10 0
VODI 0 203 130 208 215 155 30 0
ODI 0 45 47 209 202 200 41 0
CDI 0 17 19 145 277 464 88 0
VCDI 0 9 16 97 421 2815 12283 2545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70717 14592 304 452 325 200 111 0
OW 60 705 82 129 155 91 32 0
VODI 0 451 106 170 181 181 50 0
ODI 0 166 80 175 135 207 55 0
CDI 0 65 62 186 258 527 115 0
VCDI 0 20 17 150 469 2593 12181 2545


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