Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13873 11806 723 696 42 0 0 0
OW 3 579 484 665 8 1 0 0
VODI 0 118 238 1686 203 22 1 0
ODI 0 4 4 751 2376 544 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1498 4405 517 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 2 2433 2156 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15014 11034 633 549 40 0 0 0
OW 0 759 493 556 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 206 1548 233 19 2 0
ODI 0 1 23 817 2191 437 4 0
CDI 0 1 1 16 2077 3837 517 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 93 3383 1241 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15298 11885 667 388 28 0 0 0
OW 0 428 481 433 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 64 226 1684 179 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 541 2913 295 12 0
CDI 0 6 1 9 1224 4279 247 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 14 2202 2350 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1215 7598 19659 53 1 0 0 0
OW 0 181 1245 29 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 1855 48 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2666 583 189 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 3964 1095 477 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 3608 1213 97 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1215 7699 19925 67 2 0 0 0
OW 0 111 959 20 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 1854 76 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2777 774 206 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 3994 913 468 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 3488 1171 86 0 0 0

Date: 2023-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15770 12037 355 227 12 0 0 0
OW 0 915 371 378 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 275 1367 199 7 0 0
ODI 0 7 11 806 2235 276 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 17 1300 3883 201 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 102 2893 2045 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15770 12507 503 384 23 0 0 0
OW 0 441 269 383 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 225 1246 227 4 0 0
ODI 0 6 15 764 2403 377 3 0
CDI 0 7 1 18 1098 4002 224 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 2676 2019 0

Date: 2023-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18254 10680 489 248 10 0 0 0
OW 0 272 314 334 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 113 822 280 5 0 0
ODI 0 5 6 390 2303 298 2 0
CDI 0 5 2 25 795 5191 227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 3691 1037 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18254 10122 436 290 29 0 0 0
OW 0 645 192 258 140 0 0 0
VODI 0 226 276 687 506 47 0 0
ODI 0 8 18 533 1780 891 17 0
CDI 0 6 2 51 850 4249 283 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 106 3998 966 0

Date: 2023-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17924 11297 444 186 7 0 0 0
OW 0 301 294 270 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 124 784 195 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 8 658 1887 99 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 59 1556 3970 818 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 12 3546 1339 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17924 10583 345 193 11 0 0 0
OW 0 721 196 242 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 330 300 831 220 9 0 0
ODI 0 21 29 605 1861 350 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 86 1513 3287 577 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 42 3971 1580 0

Date: 2023-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19353 9838 299 213 12 0 0 0
OW 0 592 211 233 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 186 768 120 2 0 0
ODI 0 13 35 1127 1115 112 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 281 1513 4080 396 0
VCDI 0 2 1 4 13 4881 349 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19353 9062 267 267 20 0 0 0
OW 0 890 122 151 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 565 283 858 116 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 59 1041 1237 175 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 305 1379 3140 340 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 25 5760 405 0


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