Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93015 5578 283 251 12 0 0 0
OW 0 126 135 339 105 6 0 0
VODI 0 39 49 235 232 41 0 0
ODI 0 13 18 112 334 109 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 91 1343 2128 306 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 350 3237 607
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94380 4318 262 240 27 0 0 0
OW 0 166 131 238 105 4 0 0
VODI 0 60 77 164 239 17 0 0
ODI 0 17 16 132 307 82 1 0
CDI 0 1 4 99 1204 2071 1153 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 94 3249 242
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93911 4908 359 353 21 0 0 0
OW 0 100 95 194 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 57 279 271 4 0 0
ODI 0 5 16 148 721 151 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 646 1897 398 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 398 3613 432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94115 4677 364 425 67 0 0 0
OW 0 78 72 219 76 11 0 0
VODI 0 33 43 201 302 43 0 0
ODI 0 11 12 150 492 257 12 0
CDI 0 0 4 58 983 1769 574 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1207 2845 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94115 4682 373 460 74 0 0 0
OW 0 67 60 193 93 11 0 0
VODI 0 36 42 190 280 37 0 0
ODI 0 13 16 152 452 221 9 0
CDI 0 1 4 58 1021 1815 637 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1203 2785 0

Date: 2023-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93649 5441 260 304 54 0 0 0
OW 0 90 84 238 71 5 0 0
VODI 0 49 43 269 240 7 0 0
ODI 0 12 25 164 542 192 3 0
CDI 0 1 2 70 938 2263 509 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2053 1521 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93649 5452 267 318 57 0 0 0
OW 0 75 78 247 74 5 0 0
VODI 0 47 37 244 227 7 0 0
ODI 0 18 28 158 443 131 4 0
CDI 0 1 4 78 1043 2308 520 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2069 1509 0

Date: 2023-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94638 4395 319 265 30 0 0 0
OW 0 73 81 182 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 53 391 197 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 17 177 1086 270 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 33 1015 3544 111 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 900 1210 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94638 4379 342 321 47 0 0 0
OW 0 77 58 282 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 30 224 222 9 0 0
ODI 0 33 32 140 397 163 0 0
CDI 0 5 12 81 1151 2419 241 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 484 2123 1080 0

Date: 2023-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94473 4628 334 259 57 0 0 0
OW 0 76 95 222 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 57 392 175 2 0 0
ODI 0 4 16 195 951 252 2 0
CDI 0 0 4 51 1237 2963 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 1976 271 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94473 4576 334 338 83 0 0 0
OW 0 96 92 244 65 1 0 0
VODI 0 39 28 266 159 9 0 0
ODI 0 37 33 118 346 136 1 0
CDI 0 4 19 153 1267 2156 231 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 624 2891 281 0

Date: 2023-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91391 7195 912 191 77 0 0 0
OW 0 108 110 225 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 46 345 208 5 0 0
ODI 0 25 30 208 840 238 0 0
CDI 0 1 9 117 1604 3032 21 0
VCDI 0 0 138 787 336 695 100 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91391 7152 932 300 129 0 0 0
OW 0 108 73 215 75 1 0 0
VODI 0 42 30 196 198 33 0 0
ODI 0 42 34 115 276 205 0 0
CDI 0 28 38 216 1253 2137 21 0
VCDI 0 0 138 831 1197 1594 100 0


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