Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-08-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9084 7384 510 470 139 22 0 0
OW 0 418 454 1065 246 26 3 0
VODI 0 71 140 3315 2090 67 3 0
ODI 0 5 5 407 6057 642 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 2556 7833 917 0
VCDI 0 4 0 2 22 1792 105 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9129 8039 437 583 124 18 0 0
OW 0 542 401 1620 283 29 0 0
VODI 0 60 103 2928 2309 36 3 0
ODI 0 0 6 277 4935 1176 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1878 7089 1373 0
VCDI 0 4 1 2 24 1534 904 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9255 8742 498 591 134 5 0 0
OW 0 329 376 795 153 12 0 0
VODI 0 95 244 3135 1439 26 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 552 5736 383 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 17 1524 4940 77 0
VCDI 0 5 0 3 20 1462 4673 641
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9470 8833 564 781 142 9 0 0
OW 0 291 342 1175 178 33 0 0
VODI 0 43 121 3541 1276 47 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 321 5163 184 0 0
CDI 0 13 5 9 1881 3808 811 0
VCDI 0 5 2 8 31 859 5478 440
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9470 8847 598 933 171 14 0 0
OW 0 258 305 1193 152 31 0 0
VODI 0 62 124 3171 1347 45 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 520 5032 167 0 0
CDI 0 13 7 11 1940 3786 803 0
VCDI 0 5 0 7 29 897 5486 440

Date: 2023-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9937 9023 598 714 71 0 0 0
OW 0 573 352 1175 211 29 0 0
VODI 0 97 186 2586 1733 268 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 273 4128 710 13 0
CDI 0 11 10 17 1182 3862 2128 41
VCDI 0 3 1 6 26 2289 3471 139
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9937 9167 638 857 89 0 0 0
OW 0 413 317 1104 339 47 0 0
VODI 0 113 181 2438 1760 254 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 349 3929 673 10 0
CDI 0 11 10 17 1208 3853 2095 33
VCDI 0 3 1 6 26 2331 3507 147

Date: 2023-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10176 9373 607 750 129 1 0 0
OW 0 359 329 690 81 18 0 0
VODI 0 77 189 3302 537 24 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 521 4203 415 0 0
CDI 0 9 7 20 1033 6412 154 0
VCDI 0 4 3 6 23 1534 4400 474
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10176 9414 717 1140 176 5 0 0
OW 0 348 304 1474 157 32 0 0
VODI 0 47 105 2448 1795 59 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 201 2974 1375 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 10 847 5108 1248 0
VCDI 0 12 10 16 57 1825 3306 474

Date: 2023-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11402 9241 613 354 21 0 0 0
OW 0 613 467 663 49 2 0 0
VODI 0 163 390 3094 365 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 1091 3291 227 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 42 2469 4798 398 0
VCDI 0 6 2 2 51 1923 4114 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11402 9337 819 801 37 0 0 0
OW 0 556 427 1250 100 6 0 0
VODI 0 126 227 2653 1268 22 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 496 3188 586 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 32 1547 4528 913 0
VCDI 0 6 4 14 106 1812 3599 0

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10855 9596 675 752 49 6 0 0
OW 1 519 426 1093 131 14 0 0
VODI 0 116 254 2667 556 123 0 0
ODI 0 4 16 1114 3093 249 0 0
CDI 0 6 9 31 2294 4969 505 0
VCDI 0 5 2 2 24 1367 4343 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10855 9725 882 1529 70 5 0 0
OW 0 372 274 1325 309 25 0 0
VODI 1 132 213 2244 1312 167 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 520 2972 494 3 0
CDI 0 4 7 38 1445 4889 1744 0
VCDI 0 7 4 3 39 1148 3101 0


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