Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-08-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98823 23681 1500 1481 199 28 0 0
OW 0 869 936 2203 429 51 3 0
VODI 0 229 376 5468 4104 159 4 0
ODI 0 22 44 955 12158 3122 53 0
CDI 0 9 16 50 3192 18406 4299 0
VCDI 0 4 0 2 24 2724 1425 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99555 24123 1318 1494 200 21 0 0
OW 1 1346 883 2662 521 36 0 0
VODI 0 264 430 5161 4624 179 6 0
ODI 0 8 44 710 10432 4114 40 0
CDI 0 0 9 82 2640 16636 4777 0
VCDI 0 4 1 2 24 1738 2963 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100841 24558 1438 1240 198 5 0 0
OW 0 846 846 1619 273 12 0 0
VODI 0 251 588 5560 2561 74 0 0
ODI 0 14 24 1343 10975 1460 5 0
CDI 0 0 4 47 2867 15129 953 0
VCDI 0 5 0 3 20 2536 9635 1118
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101893 24491 1262 1335 211 9 0 0
OW 0 944 894 2179 319 36 0 0
VODI 0 194 401 5776 2736 132 1 0
ODI 0 15 26 939 10244 1315 1 0
CDI 0 13 6 54 3429 14268 1404 0
VCDI 0 5 2 8 31 2829 9014 632
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101893 24557 1374 1603 251 14 0 0
OW 0 841 756 2197 317 34 0 0
VODI 0 234 424 5237 2791 138 1 0
ODI 0 12 29 1185 9891 1109 1 0
CDI 0 13 8 62 3690 14437 1403 0
VCDI 0 5 0 7 30 2857 9015 632

Date: 2023-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102338 25312 1210 1043 121 0 0 0
OW 0 1500 974 2104 358 30 0 0
VODI 0 279 507 5035 3079 355 6 0
ODI 0 13 42 1071 8471 1986 13 0
CDI 0 11 13 94 3331 14092 2463 41
VCDI 0 3 1 6 36 4321 6200 589
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102338 25536 1316 1334 154 0 0 0
OW 0 1231 866 1948 486 50 0 0
VODI 0 320 504 4685 2972 349 6 0
ODI 0 16 45 1284 8174 1744 10 0
CDI 0 12 15 96 3565 14347 2452 33
VCDI 0 3 1 6 45 4294 6214 597

Date: 2023-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105887 23598 1108 1063 140 1 0 0
OW 0 1061 826 1326 137 18 0 0
VODI 0 267 590 5898 1514 43 0 0
ODI 0 7 18 1384 10390 1212 0 0
CDI 0 9 8 51 4991 14665 298 0
VCDI 0 4 3 6 35 3498 6518 474
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105887 23095 1238 1613 215 5 0 0
OW 0 1419 751 2258 347 35 0 0
VODI 0 388 484 4472 3039 146 0 0
ODI 0 26 61 1195 7255 2221 4 0
CDI 0 6 9 174 6239 12664 1516 0
VCDI 0 12 10 16 112 4366 5296 474

Date: 2023-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111322 20671 897 465 28 0 0 0
OW 1 1760 848 961 68 2 0 0
VODI 0 901 1273 5491 597 5 0 0
ODI 0 201 111 3159 8066 1109 0 0
CDI 0 146 42 648 6591 10996 748 0
VCDI 0 6 2 6 115 2939 6730 143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111259 19773 1160 1004 53 0 0 0
OW 58 2258 746 1732 154 6 0 0
VODI 6 1220 980 4529 1661 23 0 0
ODI 0 257 214 2527 6468 921 0 0
CDI 0 171 69 918 6931 11313 1301 0
VCDI 0 6 4 20 198 2788 6177 143

Date: 2023-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108696 23063 1191 1147 93 6 0 0
OW 1 1276 873 1852 304 18 0 0
VODI 0 357 744 5013 1538 248 0 0
ODI 0 5 34 2309 6973 3176 177 0
CDI 0 7 13 78 4625 12942 1172 0
VCDI 0 5 2 2 24 2365 6719 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108642 22128 1312 2119 225 8 0 0
OW 47 1600 623 2029 561 42 0 0
VODI 8 875 807 4117 2132 383 7 0
ODI 0 98 87 1935 6099 1778 88 0
CDI 0 5 24 195 4488 14561 2366 0
VCDI 0 7 4 6 52 1983 5607 0


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