Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79935 12031 809 1376 228 11 0 0
OW 8 63 86 537 297 8 0 0
VODI 0 12 41 437 914 70 0 0
ODI 0 7 18 224 1162 447 10 0
CDI 0 24 42 205 972 1267 152 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 2808 4758 56
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81314 11479 641 1057 190 5 0 0
OW 7 87 97 546 417 10 0 0
VODI 0 18 38 361 862 130 0 0
ODI 0 14 15 179 993 478 5 0
CDI 0 35 46 229 1213 1311 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 4122 2938 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81667 11651 591 863 137 20 1 0
OW 6 98 104 413 191 20 0 0
VODI 0 35 54 537 783 40 2 0
ODI 0 8 14 226 1768 377 4 0
CDI 0 6 15 156 780 1744 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 244 4738 1630 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83405 10396 474 798 140 32 8 0
OW 6 133 88 368 286 27 3 0
VODI 0 44 54 529 1150 50 0 0
ODI 0 17 13 174 1052 382 1 0
CDI 0 4 15 183 626 1732 137 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 550 5265 953 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83405 10407 476 804 159 37 10 0
OW 6 118 87 338 273 27 1 0
VODI 0 49 55 550 1035 46 0 0
ODI 0 16 12 177 1111 346 1 0
CDI 0 4 14 183 674 1814 140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 552 5218 950 0

Date: 2023-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82421 11312 629 944 217 21 0 0
OW 4 149 113 382 357 26 0 0
VODI 0 44 51 651 1163 15 0 0
ODI 0 25 15 204 874 143 0 0
CDI 0 10 30 218 741 1895 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 865 5282 289 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82421 11325 631 954 254 29 0 0
OW 4 132 106 387 320 17 0 0
VODI 0 55 57 624 1128 15 0 0
ODI 0 17 14 216 843 109 0 0
CDI 0 11 30 218 866 1981 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 806 5231 289 0

Date: 2023-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83374 10661 564 794 193 14 0 0
OW 2 88 71 313 126 1 0 0
VODI 0 48 95 1066 777 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 21 394 1303 220 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 61 864 3984 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 3402 511 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83372 10646 578 957 302 14 0 0
OW 4 109 93 627 372 3 0 0
VODI 0 32 46 670 907 11 0 0
ODI 0 12 18 159 600 142 0 0
CDI 0 0 18 207 604 2074 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 525 5381 511 0

Date: 2023-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83957 10348 488 841 170 0 0 0
OW 1 88 96 533 179 2 0 0
VODI 0 35 66 1073 883 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 15 241 722 281 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 87 679 4015 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 113 3811 329 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83957 10302 507 1150 280 0 0 0
OW 1 107 83 761 457 3 0 0
VODI 0 45 49 479 642 35 0 0
ODI 0 17 9 165 397 157 0 0
CDI 0 0 21 217 529 2149 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 441 5805 329 0

Date: 2023-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84711 10025 479 642 162 0 0 0
OW 0 132 148 733 255 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 70 860 782 32 0 0
ODI 0 4 16 205 404 329 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 663 3804 173 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 392 3839 109 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84710 9998 514 1239 358 0 0 0
OW 1 112 111 570 472 1 0 0
VODI 0 75 56 347 384 32 0 0
ODI 0 20 15 170 253 153 0 0
CDI 0 4 17 188 444 2385 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 747 5433 109 0


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