Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-07-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80859 25116 1600 2587 600 46 0 0
OW 9 643 447 1385 760 93 2 0
VODI 0 218 215 1269 2202 774 24 0
ODI 0 56 86 657 3368 2143 75 0
CDI 0 33 66 426 3127 14017 1698 0
VCDI 0 0 2 3 412 17093 24068 869
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82976 24566 1346 2179 469 43 0 0
OW 7 732 431 1350 962 139 1 0
VODI 0 214 199 1184 2259 1120 38 0
ODI 0 66 76 560 2825 2536 68 0
CDI 0 57 64 438 2892 17636 2210 0
VCDI 0 0 1 17 1679 21013 14624 71
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84522 24770 1199 1663 370 48 1 0
OW 7 614 439 1053 474 46 5 0
VODI 0 201 325 1650 1774 205 19 0
ODI 0 43 60 782 5443 2055 64 0
CDI 0 6 16 309 3574 21308 2254 0
VCDI 0 0 1 7 510 21212 10019 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86605 23737 1078 1627 320 74 8 0
OW 6 733 424 1012 624 77 7 0
VODI 0 349 315 1748 2353 291 35 0
ODI 0 36 58 733 4560 2387 72 0
CDI 0 13 35 390 5212 19632 2142 0
VCDI 0 1 0 23 3200 20018 7113 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86605 23749 1094 1684 391 83 10 0
OW 6 718 410 929 586 71 13 0
VODI 0 347 312 1746 2251 285 32 0
ODI 0 42 61 768 4406 2281 66 0
CDI 0 12 33 383 5420 19468 2121 0
VCDI 0 1 0 23 3215 20291 7135 0

Date: 2023-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86837 23994 1168 1630 404 80 2 0
OW 5 901 510 1111 755 102 10 0
VODI 0 374 330 1870 2791 346 31 0
ODI 0 55 71 733 4729 1865 42 0
CDI 0 27 58 488 8336 17164 1115 0
VCDI 0 1 0 18 1261 22051 5783 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86837 24014 1201 1665 477 90 2 0
OW 5 871 459 1093 702 113 11 0
VODI 0 389 351 1836 2758 356 24 0
ODI 0 50 70 739 4540 1773 47 0
CDI 0 27 56 498 8585 17176 1094 0
VCDI 0 1 0 19 1214 22100 5805 0

Date: 2023-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89813 22616 1098 1342 343 76 0 0
OW 4 676 478 838 308 40 0 0
VODI 0 231 354 2489 1978 159 5 0
ODI 0 32 71 1109 8905 2200 51 0
CDI 0 8 22 188 8997 23872 1108 0
VCDI 0 1 0 11 835 11623 5167 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89811 22024 1105 1605 542 103 0 0
OW 6 1014 401 1265 882 147 0 0
VODI 0 415 352 1776 2790 658 26 0
ODI 0 74 103 749 4080 2041 84 0
CDI 0 36 62 559 10836 15666 1158 0
VCDI 0 1 0 23 2236 19355 5063 0

Date: 2023-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91309 21977 1043 1474 367 31 0 0
OW 3 622 430 1245 458 34 0 0
VODI 0 277 331 2704 2595 172 5 0
ODI 0 49 73 1116 9268 2658 44 0
CDI 0 29 46 198 7867 23148 1614 0
VCDI 0 2 1 15 1135 11635 3073 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91309 21232 973 1837 631 48 0 0
OW 3 1031 423 1512 1081 83 0 0
VODI 0 483 310 1868 3163 311 4 0
ODI 0 140 123 983 4663 1749 30 0
CDI 0 68 94 533 10325 16203 1379 0
VCDI 0 2 1 19 1827 19284 3323 0

Date: 2023-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93353 20926 1044 1276 393 35 1 0
OW 0 884 575 1659 547 32 1 0
VODI 0 366 382 2611 3004 242 17 0
ODI 0 68 106 1160 10222 2451 62 0
CDI 0 37 36 237 11195 18901 723 0
VCDI 0 5 0 13 1280 11469 1735 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93351 20234 1007 1981 801 97 1 0
OW 2 1125 484 1494 1114 67 0 0
VODI 0 632 383 1836 2980 273 19 0
ODI 0 218 198 1019 5192 1484 58 0
CDI 0 72 71 620 13735 13172 710 0
VCDI 0 5 0 6 2819 18037 1751 0


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