Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 241 1820 99 80 4 0 0 0
OW 0 237 92 108 39 6 0 0
VODI 0 191 62 205 203 71 7 0
ODI 0 137 54 217 303 265 60 0
CDI 0 141 79 265 709 1641 732 0
VCDI 0 21 27 91 531 4195 18511 638
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 223 1765 116 72 9 0 0 0
OW 0 229 83 158 82 23 1 0
VODI 0 199 79 164 232 130 15 0
ODI 0 116 58 172 322 320 61 0
CDI 0 112 72 332 952 1972 1042 1
VCDI 0 35 21 132 1114 6296 15312 60
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 323 1973 59 39 10 0 0 0
OW 0 319 109 117 70 6 1 0
VODI 0 154 128 275 212 61 1 0
ODI 0 55 54 212 449 377 61 0
CDI 0 56 44 204 610 3031 1725 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 62 4610 16293 381
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 448 1998 65 42 6 0 0 0
OW 0 345 121 129 61 13 0 0
VODI 0 205 102 292 210 51 4 0
ODI 0 80 80 199 476 382 43 0
CDI 0 55 63 267 878 3449 1580 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 106 4436 14694 1202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 448 2056 81 80 20 0 0 0
OW 0 277 100 93 46 13 0 0
VODI 0 199 102 269 200 49 3 0
ODI 0 94 81 177 404 345 49 0
CDI 0 57 67 310 910 3411 1519 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 157 4513 14750 1202

Date: 2023-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 377 1976 72 73 36 1 0 0
OW 0 336 114 166 112 15 0 0
VODI 0 259 112 235 291 52 12 0
ODI 0 183 80 221 563 470 34 0
CDI 0 62 60 449 1390 3386 1723 0
VCDI 0 0 8 119 209 3797 14697 392
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 377 2067 96 96 37 3 0 0
OW 0 240 97 141 106 14 1 0
VODI 0 241 92 229 303 50 11 0
ODI 0 204 86 199 485 461 30 0
CDI 0 64 67 490 1408 3231 1786 0
VCDI 0 0 8 108 262 3962 14638 392

Date: 2023-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 322 2252 124 105 67 2 0 0
OW 0 347 124 187 66 10 0 0
VODI 0 241 160 470 455 79 4 0
ODI 0 59 55 372 1363 629 22 0
CDI 0 18 38 218 1686 3359 497 0
VCDI 0 0 4 18 52 2335 16240 102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 322 2012 139 171 90 6 0 0
OW 0 277 80 165 98 46 9 0
VODI 0 317 82 218 332 120 15 0
ODI 0 238 108 320 706 406 40 0
CDI 0 73 92 472 2161 2985 2237 0
VCDI 0 0 4 24 302 2851 14462 102

Date: 2023-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 281 2283 195 243 84 1 0 0
OW 0 337 161 279 156 72 0 0
VODI 0 235 135 423 626 173 4 0
ODI 0 112 79 335 1216 774 57 0
CDI 0 38 65 249 1948 2858 295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 186 3768 14020 380
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 281 1955 175 304 97 19 0 0
OW 0 285 90 198 137 90 2 0
VODI 0 338 100 226 406 205 18 0
ODI 0 322 148 331 761 544 102 0
CDI 0 98 110 423 2377 4443 2960 0
VCDI 0 7 12 61 438 2345 11294 380

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 253 2363 229 360 88 20 0 0
OW 0 348 151 298 215 105 2 0
VODI 0 239 128 446 757 266 9 0
ODI 0 120 86 311 1267 755 152 0
CDI 0 35 75 392 1958 2559 392 0
VCDI 0 0 1 18 271 4536 10559 2318
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 253 2051 215 391 119 59 1 0
OW 0 220 69 208 204 107 5 0
VODI 0 370 103 300 438 305 47 0
ODI 0 319 138 323 809 528 176 0
CDI 0 136 131 493 2637 5322 3843 709
VCDI 0 9 14 110 349 1920 7042 1609


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