Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-06-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75124 17181 1089 2229 704 68 1 0
OW 42 582 310 1094 786 77 2 0
VODI 0 369 192 1211 2052 363 41 0
ODI 0 258 120 606 2259 1404 179 0
CDI 0 212 125 520 3274 6573 2520 0
VCDI 0 73 48 167 859 9015 48776 6543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74971 17890 1131 2358 906 38 0 0
OW 41 673 289 1127 1143 150 16 0
VODI 0 455 221 925 2129 612 108 0
ODI 0 225 128 562 1940 1556 315 0
CDI 0 218 125 550 2524 6846 2871 1
VCDI 0 149 56 206 1269 11992 45583 4749
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76175 18120 1222 2505 917 96 3 0
OW 37 686 355 1249 911 113 6 0
VODI 0 329 284 1508 2173 469 26 0
ODI 0 254 112 619 2828 1757 197 0
CDI 0 107 78 352 1595 6768 3066 0
VCDI 0 1 4 27 161 11189 45697 5052
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76329 18853 1302 2681 698 677 7 0
OW 23 690 327 1425 980 398 16 0
VODI 0 363 215 1141 1995 1048 82 0
ODI 0 158 126 396 1921 1996 242 0
CDI 0 110 113 435 2051 6897 3502 0
VCDI 0 5 6 15 815 9084 40510 9416
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76329 18944 1346 3125 886 690 9 0
OW 23 596 292 1071 796 406 15 0
VODI 0 348 205 1017 1872 1094 95 0
ODI 0 172 123 385 1922 1835 227 0
CDI 0 115 116 479 2113 6870 3420 0
VCDI 0 4 7 16 871 9205 40593 9416

Date: 2023-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76221 19343 1353 2924 1667 133 0 0
OW 19 763 410 1447 1504 191 10 0
VODI 0 437 227 1045 2392 562 51 0
ODI 0 265 109 426 2358 1281 133 0
CDI 0 144 122 646 2805 6930 3885 0
VCDI 0 9 18 346 1300 7427 35538 12607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76220 19507 1456 3281 1834 165 1 0
OW 20 608 321 1092 1322 162 11 0
VODI 0 405 199 1033 2402 610 48 0
ODI 0 285 117 411 2264 1158 110 0
CDI 0 147 129 684 2834 6647 3782 0
VCDI 0 9 17 333 1370 7782 35665 12607

Date: 2023-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76181 20330 1355 2962 1603 25 1 0
OW 18 840 419 1362 910 53 6 0
VODI 0 459 375 1894 2344 175 8 0
ODI 0 97 79 784 4207 1353 53 0
CDI 0 44 66 335 3068 8958 1601 0
VCDI 0 0 4 26 1067 7553 35417 11016
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76181 20005 1468 3797 2387 52 6 0
OW 18 702 308 1226 1402 167 11 0
VODI 0 537 211 1001 2135 432 43 0
ODI 0 335 149 574 2136 962 188 0
CDI 0 178 152 716 3649 6794 3831 0
VCDI 0 13 10 49 1490 9710 33007 11016

Date: 2023-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76973 20888 1683 3921 1092 13 3 0
OW 16 902 470 1707 1017 108 9 0
VODI 0 431 257 1559 2435 304 24 0
ODI 0 146 103 599 3008 1574 112 0
CDI 0 69 96 405 3558 8782 1610 0
VCDI 0 0 0 49 1612 10294 29184 12035
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76973 20258 1709 4664 1718 51 16 0
OW 16 845 269 1290 1214 176 18 0
VODI 0 615 245 857 1817 489 57 0
ODI 0 432 202 630 1899 1283 243 0
CDI 0 278 164 660 3990 9081 4835 0
VCDI 0 8 20 139 2084 9995 25773 12035

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77374 21263 1650 4718 1110 54 6 0
OW 14 809 379 1838 1056 164 23 0
VODI 0 358 222 1287 2578 503 68 0
ODI 0 173 108 518 2542 1515 255 0
CDI 0 75 128 619 3801 8101 2180 0
VCDI 0 0 3 63 1096 11542 25567 13288
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77374 20603 1621 5507 1729 153 34 0
OW 14 690 222 1023 1126 276 25 0
VODI 0 648 222 921 1717 581 98 0
ODI 0 451 184 594 1829 1496 354 0
CDI 0 273 219 848 4456 10175 5937 709
VCDI 0 13 22 150 1326 9198 21651 12579


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