Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72145 14483 547 1036 410 126 30 0
OW 59 175 104 386 293 56 32 0
VODI 0 88 58 338 472 117 49 0
ODI 0 69 28 211 696 376 131 0
CDI 0 63 22 207 1096 2186 1212 0
VCDI 0 71 29 106 232 2094 7474 1793
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72350 14308 523 1136 456 131 31 0
OW 56 122 85 415 338 83 17 0
VODI 0 87 31 324 531 187 46 0
ODI 0 90 27 164 641 489 182 0
CDI 0 80 33 159 899 2028 1561 0
VCDI 0 78 33 152 282 1245 8610 1090
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73103 14146 502 1042 370 83 34 0
OW 51 178 97 471 252 29 8 0
VODI 0 74 56 469 622 94 20 0
ODI 0 52 26 185 1164 547 61 0
CDI 0 44 14 97 909 3305 1060 0
VCDI 0 2 2 19 133 1161 6733 1885
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73186 14281 573 1065 346 32 0 0
OW 50 134 92 498 361 36 0 0
VODI 0 75 32 378 730 178 11 0
ODI 0 49 8 210 1114 638 51 0
CDI 0 76 11 77 899 2718 1241 0
VCDI 0 5 4 33 120 1151 6472 2165
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73186 14322 578 1099 382 34 0 0
OW 50 112 86 467 330 34 0 0
VODI 0 61 35 366 726 175 8 0
ODI 0 47 6 220 1091 605 57 0
CDI 0 75 11 75 903 2663 1225 0
VCDI 0 3 4 34 138 1242 6485 2165

Date: 2023-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73451 13797 676 1211 400 69 24 0
OW 50 141 85 507 409 48 15 0
VODI 0 69 32 390 839 175 25 0
ODI 0 48 14 237 1195 622 99 0
CDI 0 64 20 115 982 2328 1013 0
VCDI 0 0 2 26 107 1239 5788 2788
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73451 13853 681 1261 439 66 20 0
OW 50 108 85 424 388 42 18 0
VODI 0 56 29 435 851 170 21 0
ODI 0 43 13 222 1100 596 107 0
CDI 0 59 19 119 1029 2335 1144 0
VCDI 0 0 2 25 125 1272 5654 2788

Date: 2023-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72696 14798 651 1012 349 52 0 0
OW 50 134 137 472 228 37 0 0
VODI 0 52 55 571 677 77 5 0
ODI 0 30 35 259 1850 616 46 0
CDI 0 0 3 37 871 2498 983 0
VCDI 0 0 1 6 44 851 6052 2865
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72701 14748 705 1279 510 60 0 0
OW 45 134 90 388 475 87 8 0
VODI 0 45 43 372 948 265 66 0
ODI 0 37 14 199 1052 687 288 0
CDI 0 50 27 108 961 2036 1094 0
VCDI 0 0 3 11 73 996 5630 2865

Date: 2023-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75062 12488 651 1219 351 56 0 0
OW 44 110 105 496 382 35 1 0
VODI 0 53 48 471 1099 134 9 0
ODI 0 29 31 204 1301 866 73 0
CDI 0 3 7 68 893 2265 1287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 57 964 6869 1368
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75063 12373 660 1436 649 79 0 0
OW 43 135 78 344 666 129 7 0
VODI 0 64 52 388 882 375 79 0
ODI 0 49 13 167 876 823 237 0
CDI 0 62 39 123 950 1958 1265 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 60 956 6651 1368

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74883 12717 659 1363 422 61 1 0
OW 42 114 89 601 491 47 2 0
VODI 0 65 36 535 1272 156 21 0
ODI 0 37 31 188 1168 747 75 0
CDI 0 4 15 108 767 2523 979 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 1283 6004 1530
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74884 12601 660 1617 792 93 2 0
OW 41 133 82 466 737 133 11 0
VODI 0 66 41 424 968 367 86 0
ODI 0 57 2 137 912 733 156 0
CDI 0 80 44 139 705 2194 1048 32
VCDI 0 0 1 12 70 1297 5779 1498


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