Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 918 38 77 20 4 0 0
OW 0 96 29 41 11 4 0 0
VODI 0 73 31 104 57 6 2 0
ODI 0 69 28 94 197 59 16 0
CDI 0 171 57 171 446 1052 193 0
VCDI 0 55 49 161 607 6576 18904 1663
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1034 53 84 32 2 2 0
OW 0 113 36 53 10 6 0 0
VODI 0 85 47 120 73 12 6 0
ODI 0 88 40 105 181 130 81 0
CDI 0 174 59 181 504 836 594 0
VCDI 0 82 77 210 543 7531 18330 568
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 1182 52 69 28 2 0 0
OW 0 162 56 83 15 5 0 0
VODI 0 139 79 124 87 24 7 0
ODI 0 92 44 156 206 133 55 0
CDI 0 76 48 179 500 1018 724 4
VCDI 0 43 53 156 297 4802 20454 896
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54 1384 56 90 13 2 0 0
OW 0 180 57 61 22 1 0 0
VODI 0 184 74 156 79 26 17 0
ODI 0 112 44 152 174 168 86 1
CDI 0 85 62 180 498 1520 555 2
VCDI 0 94 59 193 369 6470 18390 412
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54 1390 66 106 19 2 0 0
OW 0 181 48 42 17 2 0 0
VODI 0 172 67 160 82 19 17 0
ODI 0 109 45 145 163 155 87 1
CDI 0 92 64 182 497 1537 573 2
VCDI 0 95 62 197 377 6472 18371 412

Date: 2023-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1473 56 102 14 0 0 0
OW 0 183 61 63 13 0 1 0
VODI 0 179 81 163 113 32 24 0
ODI 0 110 44 145 164 232 133 0
CDI 0 118 74 227 505 1068 1506 0
VCDI 0 84 64 159 261 3912 20310 397
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1477 66 113 18 0 0 0
OW 0 172 48 58 15 0 2 0
VODI 0 169 80 149 107 44 23 0
ODI 0 112 47 145 161 191 155 0
CDI 0 134 75 227 494 1091 1467 0
VCDI 0 83 64 167 275 3918 20327 397

Date: 2023-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1661 67 103 1 0 0 0
OW 0 287 76 52 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 161 115 262 103 14 1 0
ODI 0 104 59 172 416 240 29 0
CDI 0 98 100 276 588 1568 522 9
VCDI 0 4 8 32 138 3173 20973 651
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1520 65 124 6 0 0 0
OW 0 195 51 56 19 3 0 0
VODI 0 201 82 136 130 86 17 0
ODI 0 134 58 140 220 198 129 0
CDI 0 193 114 313 585 1217 1052 0
VCDI 0 72 55 128 294 3491 20327 660

Date: 2023-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 239 1720 85 68 0 0 0 0
OW 0 233 81 92 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 180 75 196 124 57 3 0
ODI 0 109 60 224 386 214 8 0
CDI 0 131 85 278 656 1457 570 0
VCDI 0 20 17 77 225 4836 18963 601
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 239 1388 76 83 2 0 0 0
OW 0 239 36 56 46 12 0 0
VODI 0 253 66 119 136 140 7 0
ODI 0 170 65 119 203 217 74 0
CDI 0 247 102 418 674 1234 1204 0
VCDI 0 96 58 140 342 4961 18259 601

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 241 1820 99 80 4 0 0 0
OW 0 237 92 108 39 6 0 0
VODI 0 191 62 205 203 71 7 0
ODI 0 137 54 217 303 265 60 0
CDI 0 141 79 265 709 1641 732 0
VCDI 0 21 27 91 531 4195 18511 638
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 241 1471 81 87 24 0 0 0
OW 0 205 38 62 57 32 0 0
VODI 0 247 56 111 170 124 6 0
ODI 0 190 64 144 220 213 59 0
CDI 0 297 113 403 684 1573 1336 0
VCDI 0 137 61 159 634 4236 17909 638


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