Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 440 12 14 2 2 0 0
OW 0 51 5 17 16 1 1 0
VODI 0 55 14 34 37 8 0 0
ODI 0 28 23 41 65 41 13 0
CDI 0 22 25 83 210 413 249 0
VCDI 0 12 28 123 479 3674 15088 10756
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 501 17 20 3 2 0 0
OW 0 71 10 24 21 1 1 0
VODI 0 80 24 35 36 3 0 0
ODI 0 36 13 64 66 13 3 0
CDI 0 26 24 84 298 424 206 0
VCDI 0 16 32 178 557 4336 14219 10638
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 662 19 30 8 2 2 0
OW 0 96 21 66 20 4 0 0
VODI 0 51 28 106 108 9 4 0
ODI 0 59 24 84 165 48 20 0
CDI 0 79 37 105 294 955 366 0
VCDI 0 23 27 129 327 2791 16402 8909
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 844 34 48 11 4 0 0
OW 0 94 29 72 27 2 0 0
VODI 0 53 28 101 56 8 2 0
ODI 0 71 23 83 179 57 10 0
CDI 0 156 45 186 406 1026 205 0
VCDI 0 31 27 126 492 4600 18230 4714
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 859 39 59 19 4 0 0
OW 0 77 25 59 21 3 0 0
VODI 0 52 26 92 47 6 2 0
ODI 0 76 19 78 157 43 8 0
CDI 0 153 47 205 440 1051 205 0
VCDI 0 32 30 123 487 4590 18232 4714

Date: 2023-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 966 41 88 24 2 1 0
OW 0 105 40 43 6 6 0 0
VODI 0 67 39 116 65 3 5 0
ODI 0 85 28 106 175 80 23 0
CDI 0 196 42 172 546 997 350 0
VCDI 0 69 75 192 922 7752 16936 1717
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 981 38 88 24 3 1 0
OW 0 77 32 40 6 3 0 0
VODI 0 76 42 91 59 5 5 0
ODI 0 89 27 108 154 63 26 0
CDI 0 198 55 191 532 966 334 0
VCDI 0 67 71 199 963 7800 16949 1717

Date: 2023-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1132 58 83 32 4 0 0
OW 0 165 60 61 14 4 0 0
VODI 0 140 64 184 86 24 4 0
ODI 0 93 32 124 235 151 28 0
CDI 0 85 58 176 424 1198 827 3
VCDI 0 50 45 129 194 5351 20221 543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1070 53 89 34 3 0 0
OW 0 102 36 36 10 5 0 0
VODI 0 89 53 132 63 31 13 0
ODI 0 117 33 120 159 115 102 0
CDI 0 172 64 159 366 765 857 6
VCDI 0 115 78 221 353 5813 20108 540

Date: 2023-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38 1280 68 82 18 2 0 0
OW 0 163 62 76 20 5 0 0
VODI 0 142 59 135 105 28 11 0
ODI 0 102 40 130 195 164 44 0
CDI 0 74 51 149 481 1147 662 4
VCDI 0 54 52 187 374 6546 18938 394
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38 1103 43 62 17 1 0 0
OW 0 143 26 26 8 3 0 0
VODI 0 135 68 96 45 34 28 0
ODI 0 132 41 143 143 122 152 1
CDI 0 164 72 173 490 892 772 3
VCDI 0 138 82 259 490 6840 18703 394

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56 1426 58 94 8 0 0 0
OW 0 182 59 51 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 76 159 87 32 24 0
ODI 0 113 51 143 178 230 90 1
CDI 0 101 69 200 530 1544 748 0
VCDI 0 89 58 201 313 5292 18936 668
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56 1190 26 60 6 0 0 0
OW 0 160 22 31 16 5 6 0
VODI 0 174 71 96 52 38 40 0
ODI 0 188 80 150 109 202 139 1
CDI 0 246 98 285 564 1168 915 0
VCDI 0 147 74 226 390 5685 18698 668


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