Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-04-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62843 19889 1629 854 320 72 23 0
OW 52 251 139 337 262 120 52 0
VODI 0 124 113 264 364 235 87 0
ODI 0 55 47 145 320 333 136 0
CDI 0 62 20 83 362 1009 1039 10
VCDI 0 12 10 76 550 4570 29291 60888
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61932 19893 2646 873 350 98 41 0
OW 52 274 181 282 207 115 58 0
VODI 0 167 127 287 314 193 72 0
ODI 0 85 55 165 246 316 155 0
CDI 0 54 36 126 434 1001 901 9
VCDI 0 9 22 146 899 5726 27607 60894
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61245 19877 3776 870 270 36 29 0
OW 51 209 247 393 235 55 31 0
VODI 0 82 131 337 387 183 19 0
ODI 0 35 31 155 379 389 126 0
CDI 0 20 24 128 489 1055 823 6
VCDI 0 17 25 201 811 5589 28312 59970
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59927 21011 3849 1016 263 57 53 0
OW 51 282 197 352 290 91 33 0
VODI 0 86 112 293 365 246 97 0
ODI 0 31 44 254 333 318 233 0
CDI 0 24 25 193 611 856 941 11
VCDI 0 10 10 189 1401 5553 30811 56529
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59927 21150 3885 1030 292 65 57 0
OW 51 159 158 356 266 83 30 0
VODI 0 71 110 265 346 233 87 0
ODI 0 28 45 245 327 326 241 0
CDI 0 24 25 194 606 817 952 12
VCDI 0 12 14 207 1426 5597 30801 56528

Date: 2023-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61447 20457 2692 963 333 71 54 0
OW 51 267 150 366 280 131 31 0
VODI 0 154 121 276 326 266 94 0
ODI 0 58 54 207 312 400 208 0
CDI 0 40 29 245 616 1292 1123 6
VCDI 0 9 34 204 1136 6971 34859 50715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61447 20601 2726 1047 350 85 61 0
OW 51 182 160 316 268 123 30 0
VODI 0 103 85 245 318 258 90 0
ODI 0 53 48 196 295 374 193 0
CDI 0 34 25 234 608 1294 1110 4
VCDI 0 12 36 223 1164 6997 34885 50717

Date: 2023-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61610 20278 2654 1103 345 134 57 0
OW 59 169 137 424 341 178 40 0
VODI 5 86 84 318 318 274 139 0
ODI 5 49 56 219 395 393 269 0
CDI 5 24 57 292 637 1270 1230 8
VCDI 1 3 38 330 1290 7871 34488 49365
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61603 20264 2644 1168 454 156 70 0
OW 63 162 126 337 271 181 32 0
VODI 7 92 99 272 301 239 141 0
ODI 6 45 58 231 357 403 248 0
CDI 5 37 50 312 626 1315 1294 6
VCDI 1 9 49 366 1317 7826 34438 49367

Date: 2023-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67553 16630 538 887 497 207 71 0
OW 59 226 86 301 346 182 37 0
VODI 0 183 46 251 397 332 127 0
ODI 0 99 43 144 377 437 299 0
CDI 0 100 54 180 557 1366 1388 4
VCDI 0 73 66 276 1067 7038 33812 50712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67553 16566 531 885 572 242 73 0
OW 59 244 90 270 309 185 29 0
VODI 0 189 47 234 336 320 115 0
ODI 0 93 46 164 365 391 243 0
CDI 0 125 37 191 593 1440 1503 2
VCDI 0 94 82 295 1066 6984 33771 50714

Date: 2023-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67529 17035 505 747 463 178 50 0
OW 59 277 111 331 339 169 34 0
VODI 0 199 70 255 416 297 139 0
ODI 0 121 34 131 385 445 229 0
CDI 0 112 31 183 641 1363 1089 0
VCDI 0 102 65 287 1207 7385 34110 49925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67529 16962 489 765 545 196 46 0
OW 59 301 108 287 296 170 35 0
VODI 0 217 85 225 373 286 125 0
ODI 0 112 35 163 300 376 179 0
CDI 0 135 42 237 661 1523 1210 0
VCDI 0 119 57 257 1276 7286 34056 49925


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