Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60393 21014 2489 687 216 62 24 0
OW 52 190 265 319 173 78 31 0
VODI 0 74 188 284 285 161 74 0
ODI 0 32 77 151 255 205 150 0
CDI 0 33 25 128 267 429 387 0
VCDI 0 26 45 90 328 2889 10264 6260
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56031 19679 8036 896 281 74 16 0
OW 52 256 184 302 199 66 30 0
VODI 0 152 111 263 304 142 59 0
ODI 0 64 70 157 289 203 126 0
CDI 0 60 30 118 343 507 401 0
VCDI 0 26 29 78 413 3572 10083 5398
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62367 19798 1676 955 263 60 14 0
OW 52 244 152 345 211 67 29 0
VODI 0 126 113 258 379 172 60 0
ODI 0 78 44 153 320 304 134 0
CDI 0 52 16 74 376 1105 634 0
VCDI 0 32 17 79 445 3520 8862 5514
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61800 20473 1866 922 272 73 17 0
OW 52 234 140 361 241 99 46 0
VODI 0 99 107 260 342 244 79 0
ODI 0 36 41 187 291 277 140 0
CDI 0 33 25 93 413 856 787 0
VCDI 0 7 12 70 401 3708 8946 5050
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61800 20512 1887 949 285 87 33 0
OW 52 194 125 343 227 100 33 0
VODI 0 100 103 264 348 229 81 0
ODI 0 35 39 177 284 286 133 0
CDI 0 33 26 87 389 809 752 0
VCDI 0 8 11 73 427 3746 8983 5050

Date: 2023-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64779 18052 1631 812 280 71 39 0
OW 52 239 157 342 215 134 37 0
VODI 0 156 104 264 300 210 84 0
ODI 0 77 53 144 278 270 136 0
CDI 0 61 22 103 373 856 881 0
VCDI 0 10 13 101 482 3677 9309 4296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64779 18110 1655 856 307 100 53 0
OW 52 197 147 304 204 118 27 0
VODI 0 136 93 280 283 208 87 0
ODI 0 80 46 123 282 262 136 0
CDI 0 61 26 103 370 893 974 0
VCDI 0 11 13 100 482 3637 9209 4296

Date: 2023-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60571 20350 3588 838 232 43 22 0
OW 52 187 313 395 233 58 28 0
VODI 0 76 166 408 342 186 25 0
ODI 0 20 47 163 373 385 109 0
CDI 0 10 15 83 418 1334 609 0
VCDI 0 21 19 68 441 3744 8551 4577
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60571 20332 3658 960 309 89 68 0
OW 52 153 205 314 207 76 32 0
VODI 0 74 145 300 294 195 49 0
ODI 0 56 58 146 253 344 143 0
CDI 0 42 50 101 379 951 718 0
VCDI 0 7 32 134 597 4095 8334 4577

Date: 2023-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59498 21913 3456 937 249 29 40 0
OW 51 209 213 342 246 86 23 0
VODI 0 79 95 302 330 219 39 0
ODI 0 28 33 142 272 308 175 0
CDI 0 32 13 110 373 986 598 0
VCDI 0 14 14 64 524 3779 9125 4154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59498 21816 3426 983 316 75 67 0
OW 51 190 174 254 207 94 34 0
VODI 0 141 122 245 239 236 110 0
ODI 0 78 40 144 235 285 250 0
CDI 0 45 38 165 339 768 603 0
VCDI 0 5 24 106 658 3949 8936 4154

Date: 2023-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60725 20030 3795 1015 250 81 38 0
OW 51 288 179 306 279 99 27 0
VODI 0 152 90 250 311 209 103 0
ODI 0 48 40 162 276 326 192 0
CDI 0 32 18 122 415 832 652 0
VCDI 0 13 17 92 561 4154 8664 4206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60725 19931 3770 1062 363 114 72 0
OW 51 268 169 228 243 104 70 0
VODI 0 174 86 239 252 254 144 0
ODI 0 127 31 153 250 303 167 0
CDI 0 50 59 127 380 736 555 0
VCDI 0 13 24 138 604 4190 8668 4206


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