Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 51 34 18 4 0 0
OW 0 7 8 34 12 14 0 0
VODI 0 5 4 25 17 16 4 0
ODI 0 1 1 14 40 18 11 0
CDI 0 2 0 3 55 64 20 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 57 377 7213 23917
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 44 33 22 5 0 0
OW 0 5 10 27 18 8 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 24 28 15 2 0
ODI 0 0 2 13 47 30 2 0
CDI 0 1 0 2 36 84 24 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 499 9316 21705
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 26 26 58 6 9 0 0
OW 0 5 3 26 15 10 2 0
VODI 0 2 4 14 29 23 4 0
ODI 0 2 0 5 34 40 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 38 68 141 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 580 6483 24366
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 6 20 27 5 4 0
OW 0 8 6 14 17 16 13 0
VODI 0 2 3 10 30 22 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 25 19 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 27 67 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 630 9610 21327
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 6 19 32 7 4 0
OW 0 4 6 15 15 17 13 0
VODI 0 2 3 13 27 21 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 34 23 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 19 65 89 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 626 9603 21326

Date: 2023-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 51 4 27 23 7 0 0
OW 0 12 11 9 24 8 0 0
VODI 0 5 8 15 32 26 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 23 26 29 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 8 44 64 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 69 721 8768 22026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 3 30 29 7 0 0
OW 0 10 7 7 20 7 0 0
VODI 0 4 13 18 36 28 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 21 30 31 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 5 35 78 29 3
VCDI 0 0 0 5 68 704 8772 22023

Date: 2023-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 13 22 20 0 0 0
OW 0 6 1 16 25 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 25 41 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 43 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 21 132 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 536 7794 23161
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 11 16 37 4 0 0
OW 0 4 2 18 32 15 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 18 25 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 21 29 36 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 26 109 58 29
VCDI 0 0 0 1 49 525 7810 23132

Date: 2023-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 5 7 18 6 0 0
OW 0 6 1 7 26 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 3 38 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 37 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 30 160 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 443 9108 22046
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 2 3 30 7 0 0
OW 0 5 4 8 21 27 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 6 40 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 23 48 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 31 131 22 1
VCDI 0 0 0 1 24 439 9099 22045

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 8 9 13 2 0 0
OW 0 5 6 12 17 4 0 0
VODI 0 2 4 8 40 20 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 3 23 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 16 82 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 320 9530 21867
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 6 11 18 6 0 0
OW 0 11 4 6 17 24 0 0
VODI 0 4 6 6 30 33 2 0
ODI 0 1 2 6 18 36 5 0
CDI 0 1 0 5 19 74 34 2
VCDI 0 0 0 2 18 295 9493 21865


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