Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61025 20940 1879 641 229 86 39 0
OW 52 366 221 334 180 101 14 0
VODI 0 136 98 286 352 189 29 0
ODI 0 82 30 133 305 309 85 0
CDI 0 49 23 79 224 855 417 0
VCDI 0 18 21 67 449 2516 9472 6769
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56945 24542 2389 576 202 80 44 0
OW 52 307 247 346 178 77 19 0
VODI 0 136 77 337 297 172 42 0
ODI 0 82 34 124 292 310 90 0
CDI 0 28 18 62 226 746 355 0
VCDI 0 23 21 67 284 2100 14510 2663
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55068 24547 4395 604 181 54 13 0
OW 54 174 218 367 223 55 12 0
VODI 0 163 98 255 324 156 32 0
ODI 0 72 35 130 257 238 52 0
CDI 0 44 24 65 269 599 184 0
VCDI 0 29 22 86 264 2824 13265 3648
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57519 22201 3929 683 214 61 13 0
OW 54 265 169 326 282 93 9 0
VODI 0 187 90 207 324 210 29 0
ODI 0 60 55 124 212 258 91 0
CDI 0 30 22 101 257 499 332 0
VCDI 0 6 18 90 211 2810 11725 5334
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57519 22195 3942 685 261 66 14 0
OW 54 279 150 313 246 85 8 0
VODI 0 181 93 213 313 210 31 0
ODI 0 52 52 119 206 246 100 0
CDI 0 29 25 104 259 519 330 0
VCDI 0 13 21 97 215 2805 11716 5334

Date: 2023-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59565 21862 2132 588 246 123 27 0
OW 55 262 181 346 207 130 27 0
VODI 0 151 85 241 297 203 75 0
ODI 0 66 35 112 235 264 111 0
CDI 0 20 21 91 283 499 413 0
VCDI 0 3 6 53 420 2644 10939 6082
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59564 21875 2136 598 279 138 29 0
OW 56 257 171 325 186 124 28 0
VODI 0 158 89 241 285 190 76 0
ODI 0 41 35 113 229 265 118 0
CDI 0 27 20 94 272 506 409 0
VCDI 0 6 9 60 437 2640 10932 6082

Date: 2023-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59514 22041 1910 531 243 98 11 0
OW 62 261 183 367 201 96 11 0
VODI 0 111 82 305 357 195 56 0
ODI 0 31 12 101 324 338 101 0
CDI 0 14 8 40 257 831 423 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 200 2393 11184 6185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59514 21989 1904 638 346 162 23 0
OW 62 271 156 251 188 136 33 0
VODI 0 124 91 245 282 229 94 0
ODI 0 39 28 124 236 288 151 0
CDI 0 34 15 71 266 686 507 0
VCDI 0 1 1 38 264 2450 10978 6185

Date: 2023-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60717 20265 2365 630 307 135 36 0
OW 62 199 232 294 205 100 44 0
VODI 0 93 83 242 326 198 90 0
ODI 0 26 10 106 246 283 135 0
CDI 0 17 5 60 277 689 467 0
VCDI 0 3 2 53 320 2614 10435 6729
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60717 20195 2292 650 386 193 63 0
OW 62 223 218 232 190 112 72 0
VODI 0 96 125 208 283 231 133 0
ODI 0 33 45 130 216 239 181 0
CDI 0 56 17 99 287 658 464 0
VCDI 0 0 0 66 319 2586 10294 6729

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58483 21629 3352 657 297 90 30 0
OW 62 200 228 343 192 80 27 0
VODI 0 109 120 228 313 170 113 0
ODI 0 38 26 140 291 229 190 0
CDI 0 8 3 69 361 574 539 0
VCDI 0 1 0 9 426 1766 10831 6876
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58483 21511 3211 644 354 110 37 0
OW 62 263 257 256 177 100 56 0
VODI 0 116 158 235 282 174 121 0
ODI 0 58 52 137 264 210 205 0
CDI 0 31 45 121 339 565 712 0
VCDI 0 6 6 53 464 1750 10599 6876


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