Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 169 35 29 7 1 0 0
OW 0 40 5 10 4 1 0 0
VODI 0 30 14 14 23 2 0 0
ODI 0 16 4 25 47 16 7 14
CDI 0 13 8 21 47 82 133 122
VCDI 0 40 20 68 225 1424 14267 15099
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 31 44 18 3 0 0
OW 0 38 8 13 1 8 0 0
VODI 0 28 14 17 14 4 2 0
ODI 0 14 7 14 45 7 14 2
CDI 0 4 13 13 51 29 96 41
VCDI 0 1 7 49 145 772 11087 19313
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 129 37 18 1 0 0
OW 0 22 18 12 12 3 0 0
VODI 0 11 16 25 20 13 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 21 42 19 1 0
CDI 0 2 12 10 37 21 67 24
VCDI 0 0 3 48 107 571 9617 21035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 166 41 29 11 0 0 0
OW 0 41 8 14 15 2 0 0
VODI 0 23 6 17 19 21 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 7 19 34 17 0
CDI 0 8 6 4 12 54 56 15
VCDI 0 3 8 17 63 536 11811 18984
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 173 38 29 16 1 0 0
OW 0 38 12 16 11 3 0 0
VODI 0 22 5 14 18 19 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 7 19 41 18 0
CDI 0 7 6 6 12 49 59 15
VCDI 0 4 7 16 63 534 11807 18984

Date: 2023-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 43 30 8 1 0 0
OW 0 30 9 25 10 5 0 0
VODI 0 26 5 9 20 13 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 9 24 32 14 0
CDI 0 12 3 3 18 66 53 0
VCDI 0 7 7 12 98 1033 10933 19367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 43 33 8 2 0 0
OW 0 30 8 22 9 6 0 0
VODI 0 18 7 10 22 12 0 0
ODI 0 13 3 8 25 36 15 0
CDI 0 14 2 3 20 64 55 0
VCDI 0 6 7 12 94 1030 10930 19367

Date: 2023-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 38 37 12 7 0 0
OW 0 15 10 21 18 9 3 0
VODI 0 11 4 13 29 12 2 0
ODI 0 0 4 5 20 34 11 0
CDI 0 1 2 7 24 85 73 10
VCDI 0 0 0 1 9 384 10318 20751
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 34 40 16 12 3 0
OW 0 13 9 14 22 10 1 0
VODI 0 17 6 13 25 10 8 0
ODI 0 4 4 6 17 24 14 0
CDI 0 1 5 9 23 62 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 9 413 10300 20761

Date: 2023-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 103 26 13 10 0 0
OW 0 9 21 23 7 9 1 0
VODI 0 7 4 27 25 14 5 0
ODI 0 2 1 9 24 23 5 0
CDI 0 1 0 2 25 48 75 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 414 10448 20627
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 17 98 25 18 15 2 0
OW 0 10 12 22 8 12 4 0
VODI 0 6 15 14 17 18 5 0
ODI 0 2 3 19 17 19 8 0
CDI 0 3 1 5 37 52 70 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 27 402 10445 20651

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 51 34 18 4 0 0
OW 0 7 8 34 12 14 0 0
VODI 0 5 4 25 17 16 4 0
ODI 0 1 1 14 40 18 11 0
CDI 0 2 0 3 55 64 20 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 57 377 7213 23917
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 48 37 22 4 0 0
OW 0 7 6 31 11 21 2 0
VODI 0 9 2 18 13 15 13 0
ODI 0 6 3 11 28 45 11 0
CDI 0 1 1 10 59 70 47 0
VCDI 0 6 4 6 66 338 7175 23917


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