Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 18 27 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 524 12127 33147
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 16 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 19 80 69 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 569 15365 29699
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 33 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 34 33 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 38 88 114 1
VCDI 0 0 0 9 115 721 15832 28814
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
ODI 0 0 0 0 51 7 54 4
CDI 0 0 0 0 35 50 139 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 112 597 13145 31665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 47 7 41 5
CDI 0 0 0 0 41 45 142 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 111 602 13155 31665

Date: 2023-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 27 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 44 72 28 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 139 1010 17416 27125
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 4 28 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 42 68 22 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 140 1013 17421 27125

Date: 2023-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 31 50 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 116 104 167 4
VCDI 0 0 0 1 216 1191 18613 25336
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 24 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 20 33 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 107 102 95 2
VCDI 0 0 0 7 236 1186 18672 25338

Date: 2023-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 14 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 40 57 72 40
VCDI 0 0 0 0 129 974 12670 31843
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 12 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 30 42 102 76
VCDI 0 0 0 1 139 991 12641 31807

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 6 12 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 24 68 62 4
VCDI 0 0 0 7 48 934 10643 34043
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 13 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 21 33 136 97
VCDI 0 0 0 8 55 968 10556 33950


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