Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58266 25134 4949 316 175 93 84 0
OW 71 552 233 268 92 23 17 0
VODI 0 306 180 340 222 54 78 0
ODI 0 171 114 165 227 114 65 0
CDI 0 121 113 227 375 250 100 0
VCDI 0 76 119 367 705 2685 10346 1307
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63858 20758 3362 366 188 79 109 0
OW 72 566 278 207 148 27 19 0
VODI 0 290 251 287 252 113 63 0
ODI 0 121 148 220 178 94 95 0
CDI 0 82 100 323 332 177 111 0
VCDI 0 66 114 422 909 2479 8264 3572
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55839 24935 7926 252 114 66 80 0
OW 61 375 401 224 55 25 20 0
VODI 0 212 319 436 168 55 17 0
ODI 0 72 111 265 343 60 19 0
CDI 0 46 84 252 346 207 116 0
VCDI 0 57 54 248 697 2651 8870 3022
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56150 24951 7216 212 91 77 73 0
OW 65 548 375 159 75 23 40 0
VODI 1 330 281 344 162 60 25 0
ODI 0 99 129 284 248 72 27 0
CDI 0 58 69 198 273 222 111 0
VCDI 0 34 123 424 864 2720 10502 1385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56152 24934 7235 239 89 75 82 0
OW 64 549 356 148 89 32 31 0
VODI 0 320 247 300 135 55 25 0
ODI 0 119 151 271 227 73 26 0
CDI 0 59 78 227 282 214 104 0
VCDI 0 39 126 436 891 2725 10510 1385

Date: 2023-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58145 22261 7008 428 81 70 49 0
OW 62 665 317 226 74 41 28 0
VODI 0 418 347 321 174 49 28 0
ODI 0 78 254 260 231 73 28 0
CDI 0 26 91 246 350 203 102 0
VCDI 0 12 128 418 1017 3029 10272 1490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58142 22163 7013 450 93 79 63 0
OW 65 708 291 214 70 35 19 0
VODI 0 409 320 302 171 46 22 0
ODI 0 141 248 210 183 75 31 0
CDI 0 28 140 245 326 199 116 0
VCDI 0 11 133 478 1084 3031 10256 1490

Date: 2023-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54778 26119 6516 331 79 18 26 0
OW 63 364 442 337 91 22 8 0
VODI 0 145 348 525 293 69 17 0
ODI 0 74 117 353 403 117 18 0
CDI 0 40 61 190 431 292 74 0
VCDI 0 31 60 285 1013 3557 9804 1589
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54777 25967 6253 353 110 63 37 0
OW 64 333 394 207 109 43 29 0
VODI 0 249 451 364 201 74 31 0
ODI 0 98 171 295 256 76 34 0
CDI 0 61 124 241 284 181 125 0
VCDI 0 65 151 561 1350 3638 9691 1589

Date: 2023-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56619 24464 5995 549 64 38 26 0
OW 63 403 412 328 73 19 5 0
VODI 0 277 247 471 176 82 11 0
ODI 0 136 96 296 242 115 13 0
CDI 0 104 64 241 271 216 28 0
VCDI 0 45 135 391 1122 3261 9055 2947
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56619 24266 5880 555 94 87 44 0
OW 63 407 308 210 57 60 15 0
VODI 0 371 331 440 150 96 14 0
ODI 0 198 151 303 165 115 22 0
CDI 0 98 111 244 254 159 50 0
VCDI 0 89 168 524 1228 3214 8993 2947

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55932 24947 6587 217 80 27 25 0
OW 74 567 261 221 61 23 11 0
VODI 0 391 201 381 174 56 12 0
ODI 0 161 90 284 202 110 17 0
CDI 0 96 65 265 241 189 33 0
VCDI 0 91 138 469 1004 2741 8362 4294
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55932 24670 6485 224 119 75 58 0
OW 74 576 207 150 70 53 9 0
VODI 0 528 294 321 174 59 9 0
ODI 0 252 121 265 154 85 17 0
CDI 0 131 95 291 185 174 82 0
VCDI 0 96 140 586 1060 2700 8285 4294


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