Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62628 22087 4225 314 170 343 59 0
OW 109 671 129 103 59 90 17 0
VODI 3 359 172 217 111 89 15 0
ODI 0 125 98 179 181 97 6 0
CDI 0 53 50 174 252 247 17 0
VCDI 0 31 79 228 862 3294 10778 379
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55779 24982 7814 376 185 318 61 0
OW 67 831 104 132 77 93 21 0
VODI 0 518 135 153 128 89 35 0
ODI 0 210 100 163 124 94 18 0
CDI 0 120 70 170 186 197 44 0
VCDI 0 134 151 376 980 3087 9261 1717
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60748 23516 4526 448 187 186 3 0
OW 104 385 246 205 87 58 39 0
VODI 4 255 181 277 137 94 63 0
ODI 0 164 113 200 142 130 43 0
CDI 0 72 108 243 242 239 80 0
VCDI 0 58 122 481 753 1981 8915 3265
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59978 21253 7190 380 169 117 74 0
OW 60 434 402 222 70 20 25 0
VODI 0 230 252 425 104 49 80 0
ODI 0 150 153 259 147 138 47 0
CDI 0 113 114 298 247 257 101 0
VCDI 0 114 137 367 690 2702 9914 1618
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59978 21351 7217 374 168 116 80 0
OW 60 332 379 241 69 29 30 0
VODI 0 224 261 383 110 49 84 0
ODI 0 154 147 277 144 139 43 0
CDI 0 109 107 281 246 274 102 0
VCDI 0 124 137 395 690 2676 9902 1618

Date: 2023-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63639 22897 1747 329 136 109 69 0
OW 73 518 249 291 71 27 8 0
VODI 0 262 195 360 265 76 51 0
ODI 0 128 123 229 185 97 85 0
CDI 0 109 106 312 375 191 103 0
VCDI 0 67 91 390 763 2465 8627 3282
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63639 23010 1763 335 142 119 70 0
OW 73 409 256 293 105 27 11 0
VODI 0 250 164 334 200 74 66 0
ODI 0 129 121 239 177 93 82 0
CDI 0 109 109 326 380 205 95 0
VCDI 0 74 98 384 791 2447 8619 3282

Date: 2023-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59995 23692 5110 231 95 74 92 0
OW 60 280 371 315 83 22 20 0
VODI 0 178 251 565 221 35 26 0
ODI 0 64 80 282 402 55 32 0
CDI 0 60 75 276 381 313 74 0
VCDI 0 25 36 201 644 2368 8288 3728
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59990 23005 4952 313 151 105 123 0
OW 65 645 328 235 85 26 30 0
VODI 0 286 274 272 181 63 79 0
ODI 0 139 155 257 124 59 114 0
CDI 0 112 105 327 248 159 122 0
VCDI 0 112 109 466 1037 2455 8064 3728

Date: 2023-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59390 24959 4266 202 93 81 79 0
OW 75 451 372 187 50 24 28 0
VODI 0 290 304 346 181 48 21 0
ODI 0 77 130 264 293 70 16 0
CDI 0 43 93 184 296 208 113 0
VCDI 0 22 145 342 820 2937 10483 1117
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59370 24428 4123 200 128 111 121 0
OW 90 783 330 212 65 39 20 0
VODI 5 328 312 262 210 87 65 0
ODI 0 127 191 233 151 92 107 0
CDI 0 85 149 190 287 190 105 0
VCDI 0 91 205 428 892 2849 10322 1117

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57885 22788 7240 242 102 63 54 0
OW 79 567 402 179 70 39 31 0
VODI 1 356 376 321 170 53 13 0
ODI 0 73 179 290 240 80 30 0
CDI 0 35 83 241 308 212 72 0
VCDI 0 27 113 392 891 2792 10568 1443
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57875 22482 7101 303 133 126 105 0
OW 87 659 513 201 96 47 14 0
VODI 3 399 364 297 259 75 67 0
ODI 0 145 145 192 188 90 123 0
CDI 0 67 94 192 271 181 121 0
VCDI 0 94 176 480 834 2720 10338 1443


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