Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 476 149 55 32 12 0 0
OW 0 92 69 60 35 17 0 0
VODI 0 64 64 61 68 29 0 0
ODI 0 36 48 38 40 55 0 0
CDI 0 22 54 35 79 172 50 0
VCDI 0 9 157 160 259 1389 10205 17991
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 383 60 37 51 5 0 0
OW 0 103 63 104 50 21 0 0
VODI 0 138 28 100 101 47 0 0
ODI 0 88 13 45 85 51 1 0
CDI 0 81 18 25 128 173 60 0
VCDI 0 164 187 161 308 1116 8489 19598
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 323 54 16 3 0 0 0
OW 0 65 42 30 67 14 0 0
VODI 0 59 36 47 133 18 0 0
ODI 0 49 44 50 100 55 0 0
CDI 0 25 22 64 79 143 34 1
VCDI 0 66 70 195 305 818 7150 21905
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 240 32 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 9 4 26 5 0 0
VODI 0 51 23 21 91 51 1 0
ODI 0 30 28 31 97 56 2 0
CDI 0 15 21 90 81 115 21 1
VCDI 0 42 45 102 298 1005 6773 22596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 234 31 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 9 1 22 4 0 0
VODI 0 53 21 19 86 46 0 0
ODI 0 34 24 32 93 58 4 0
CDI 0 13 21 74 87 119 19 1
VCDI 0 46 52 122 305 1005 6774 22596

Date: 2023-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 218 16 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 6 0 0 2 0 0
VODI 0 69 11 1 3 58 11 0
ODI 0 25 26 18 20 120 28 0
CDI 0 4 20 55 69 128 56 1
VCDI 0 1 23 116 213 840 5105 24770
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 219 15 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 6 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 7 1 0 41 9 0
ODI 0 32 26 12 20 111 25 0
CDI 0 11 23 41 52 124 59 2
VCDI 0 1 25 136 233 872 5107 24769

Date: 2023-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 268 36 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 19 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 20 18 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 11 31 35 20 0 0
CDI 0 2 19 82 125 275 46 1
VCDI 0 0 1 17 76 570 6283 24052
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 204 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 8 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 22 3 1 11 0 0
ODI 0 26 20 9 8 44 34 0
CDI 0 20 24 32 63 89 58 6
VCDI 0 3 23 112 166 721 6237 24047

Date: 2023-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 250 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 3 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 7 9 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 22 12 6 4 6 0
CDI 0 17 29 26 29 62 33 0
VCDI 0 0 48 154 153 719 7050 23294
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 201 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 5 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 5 5 0 6 1 0
CDI 0 36 24 15 22 83 34 0
VCDI 0 9 82 187 170 696 7054 23294

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 221 10 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 5 3 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 4 5 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 32 10 6 5 21 0 0
CDI 0 27 23 23 2 57 30 0
VCDI 0 19 93 200 200 801 6940 23218
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 222 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 14 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 19 18 1 1 0 0
CDI 0 23 11 27 15 28 16 0
VCDI 0 33 96 193 203 854 6954 23218


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