Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 6 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 12 11 11 2 0 0
VODI 0 6 22 81 104 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 128 231 135 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 343 365 116 18
VCDI 0 0 0 5 133 2386 12217 29396
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 7 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 8 22 69 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 26 184 93 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 369 322 90 8
VCDI 0 0 0 25 306 2162 14253 27829
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 23 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 15 92 56 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 26 127 387 59 8
VCDI 0 0 0 22 282 1942 16981 25816
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 28 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 26 7 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 67 238 72 14
VCDI 0 2 2 35 207 1952 15810 27375
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 32 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 29 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 76 252 74 14
VCDI 0 2 2 31 189 1939 15810 27375

Date: 2023-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 45 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 18 135 53 7
VCDI 0 0 0 2 84 1474 12471 31571
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 20 188 65 11
VCDI 0 0 0 2 82 1420 12460 31567

Date: 2023-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 15 74 8 3
VCDI 0 0 0 4 74 1146 11899 32639
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 124 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 69 1062 11861 32642

Date: 2023-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 27 24 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 122 1841 18440 25399
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 35 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 88 40 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 133 1742 18410 25399

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 0
CDI 0 2 0 5 30 41 51 0
VCDI 0 3 1 35 110 2156 21397 22029
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 8 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 7 92 169 11
VCDI 0 5 1 40 136 2097 21275 22018


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