Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66588 22941 4140 336 137 75 72 0
OW 35 293 214 95 42 22 8 0
VODI 0 146 188 175 76 28 7 0
ODI 0 50 85 122 125 51 6 0
CDI 0 21 45 136 179 175 9 0
VCDI 0 17 32 124 691 4139 5747 1728
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66625 22222 4401 316 191 113 37 0
OW 50 313 188 126 66 31 2 0
VODI 0 149 185 198 125 36 1 0
ODI 0 36 108 151 131 75 1 0
CDI 0 13 48 163 188 229 10 0
VCDI 0 1 38 192 652 5400 6287 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65944 19035 7968 455 346 184 34 0
OW 38 288 171 160 76 38 14 0
VODI 0 163 120 211 156 83 8 0
ODI 0 46 77 116 236 126 5 0
CDI 0 34 59 90 230 308 55 0
VCDI 0 24 59 194 529 4580 5611 1229
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63895 22266 6188 493 339 228 41 0
OW 51 333 162 173 95 49 11 0
VODI 0 187 158 199 189 101 21 0
ODI 0 61 89 124 175 172 10 0
CDI 0 34 51 115 173 411 43 0
VCDI 0 24 44 195 253 4171 7590 186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63895 22285 6193 499 330 228 41 0
OW 51 352 156 180 119 53 11 0
VODI 0 175 179 192 196 106 21 0
ODI 0 47 80 122 158 185 13 0
CDI 0 28 41 124 174 411 35 0
VCDI 0 18 43 182 247 4149 7595 186

Date: 2022-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68418 21716 1884 433 374 320 48 0
OW 52 312 188 206 113 56 7 0
VODI 0 141 115 271 198 107 39 0
ODI 0 64 59 168 145 167 41 0
CDI 0 51 36 91 164 354 125 0
VCDI 0 33 47 144 299 4017 7750 347
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68418 21702 1887 436 368 341 49 0
OW 52 337 180 216 132 35 14 0
VODI 0 154 135 273 204 120 34 0
ODI 0 54 54 166 148 177 34 0
CDI 0 45 27 85 150 348 128 0
VCDI 0 25 46 137 291 4000 7751 347

Date: 2022-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67855 17545 6332 487 360 305 31 0
OW 59 153 316 277 70 43 21 0
VODI 0 62 125 357 241 57 19 0
ODI 0 18 56 139 348 145 18 0
CDI 0 3 36 83 227 481 62 0
VCDI 0 0 3 76 239 4675 7557 219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67854 17227 6268 515 382 367 64 0
OW 60 281 265 208 69 12 13 0
VODI 0 178 188 284 247 77 28 0
ODI 0 64 65 187 239 112 16 0
CDI 0 26 45 111 220 305 33 0
VCDI 0 5 37 114 328 4833 7554 219

Date: 2022-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64661 19653 7080 405 324 208 12 0
OW 60 230 182 217 113 49 31 0
VODI 0 86 98 276 278 112 18 0
ODI 0 21 32 110 344 181 16 0
CDI 0 6 28 80 265 481 239 0
VCDI 0 0 3 52 218 4186 6918 1827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64656 19430 7006 401 325 240 43 0
OW 65 337 202 200 121 49 18 0
VODI 0 153 132 238 252 106 25 0
ODI 0 56 35 136 311 194 23 0
CDI 0 18 34 85 236 420 162 0
VCDI 0 2 14 80 297 4208 6963 1827

Date: 2022-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67103 18259 5277 444 254 319 28 0
OW 60 257 129 241 163 37 42 0
VODI 0 101 96 210 317 97 47 0
ODI 0 31 42 129 285 132 18 0
CDI 0 8 44 65 326 492 195 0
VCDI 0 1 13 85 510 4726 6731 1786
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67103 18166 5132 460 287 347 82 0
OW 60 265 271 240 172 65 37 0
VODI 0 162 93 216 361 120 20 0
ODI 0 44 43 105 270 199 32 0
CDI 0 11 40 68 329 503 215 0
VCDI 0 9 22 85 436 4569 6675 1786


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