Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6820 10409 1469 924 57 0 0 0
OW 3 93 370 792 105 0 0 0
VODI 2 45 147 1545 523 25 0 0
ODI 0 10 21 1314 3310 197 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 215 2308 5593 901 0
VCDI 0 6 0 3 20 2056 6275 305
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10586 6965 1364 837 103 1 0 0
OW 1 204 369 597 162 26 0 0
VODI 1 100 233 1490 514 90 0 0
ODI 0 7 42 1582 2438 423 70 0
CDI 0 3 1 248 2545 5567 1176 0
VCDI 0 5 0 2 43 1974 6043 54
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5951 11626 1609 774 72 2 0 0
OW 1 207 480 621 99 19 0 0
VODI 0 72 161 2217 535 37 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 998 3378 627 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 17 1447 4482 2004 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 10 1985 6421 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2957 12388 3925 800 99 0 0 0
OW 0 232 539 580 153 14 0 0
VODI 0 56 147 2204 698 69 0 0
ODI 0 5 13 1042 2656 940 11 0
CDI 0 5 0 20 1871 3956 2183 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 12 1025 7157 106
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2957 12405 3992 905 122 0 0 0
OW 0 213 465 535 135 13 0 0
VODI 0 55 150 2121 740 90 2 0
ODI 0 8 17 1062 2458 872 6 0
CDI 0 5 0 23 2019 3992 2069 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 15 1037 7274 106

Date: 2022-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5749 12036 1860 507 75 1 0 0
OW 0 275 603 711 85 9 0 0
VODI 0 127 175 2357 511 41 0 0
ODI 0 40 28 917 2413 827 5 0
CDI 0 6 4 36 1874 4407 1982 0
VCDI 0 4 0 4 63 1040 6272 822
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5749 12051 1926 679 80 1 0 0
OW 0 231 511 625 90 11 0 0
VODI 0 141 196 2259 584 41 0 0
ODI 0 49 33 936 2235 778 1 0
CDI 0 12 4 29 1973 4420 1867 0
VCDI 0 4 0 4 59 1074 6391 822

Date: 2022-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10586 8991 1276 686 83 2 0 0
OW 0 301 408 680 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 127 2283 633 6 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 461 2383 446 5 0
CDI 0 3 0 16 1448 4571 462 0
VCDI 0 5 0 2 16 904 6935 2012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10586 8516 909 598 105 2 0 0
OW 0 534 552 504 119 0 0 0
VODI 0 233 313 1957 475 32 0 0
ODI 0 60 41 1009 1765 818 14 0
CDI 0 16 0 55 2144 4561 1514 11
VCDI 0 8 0 5 19 516 5874 2001

Date: 2022-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11871 8535 1457 506 54 2 0 0
OW 0 238 386 665 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 179 2100 488 23 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 402 1851 487 20 0
CDI 0 9 3 9 1515 3921 1089 0
VCDI 0 3 3 6 37 1493 6201 2208
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11871 7921 1023 372 68 2 0 0
OW 0 582 519 506 61 1 0 0
VODI 0 267 460 1729 277 39 0 0
ODI 0 53 21 1039 1581 678 34 0
CDI 0 19 3 35 1963 4088 1826 251
VCDI 0 5 3 7 37 1118 5450 1957

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11906 8677 1577 642 23 0 0 0
OW 0 185 328 1001 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 124 2003 401 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 596 1864 194 7 0
CDI 0 6 3 59 1952 3863 409 0
VCDI 0 3 1 4 11 1998 7046 887
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11905 8161 1207 466 37 0 0 0
OW 1 471 506 830 92 1 0 0
VODI 0 186 267 1626 252 11 0 0
ODI 0 62 50 1173 1530 384 0 2
CDI 0 9 3 206 2393 3432 695 398
VCDI 0 5 1 4 12 2234 6767 487


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