Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5908 10003 1749 820 42 0 0 0
OW 0 125 190 851 120 5 0 0
VODI 0 54 139 1252 538 79 0 0
ODI 0 38 26 563 2293 259 1 0
CDI 0 57 11 183 3530 6077 241 0
VCDI 0 7 0 2 22 4073 5467 1141
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5896 10502 1436 857 56 0 0 0
OW 4 104 311 806 182 7 0 0
VODI 0 51 173 1113 651 61 0 0
ODI 0 60 78 633 2459 94 2 0
CDI 0 24 17 441 4552 4962 323 0
VCDI 0 7 1 2 34 3102 6450 415
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4160 11634 2208 1167 104 0 0 0
OW 0 74 339 713 119 11 0 0
VODI 0 17 202 1176 675 62 0 0
ODI 0 1 20 909 3948 480 2 0
CDI 0 1 0 135 2936 4419 810 0
VCDI 0 7 1 2 9 1241 7333 951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7561 9669 1398 838 52 0 0 0
OW 0 103 384 721 132 7 0 0
VODI 0 27 179 1434 559 39 0 0
ODI 0 9 21 1325 3604 151 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 141 2490 5236 715 0
VCDI 0 6 0 3 16 1226 6860 957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7561 9697 1463 940 86 0 0 0
OW 0 79 291 656 123 11 0 0
VODI 0 26 208 1346 592 30 0 0
ODI 0 4 20 1376 3500 148 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 143 2537 5338 764 0
VCDI 0 6 0 1 15 1132 6811 957

Date: 2022-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9197 8583 1308 631 59 5 0 0
OW 2 243 383 651 100 17 0 0
VODI 1 98 195 1607 418 31 7 0
ODI 0 7 31 1752 2648 192 9 0
CDI 0 2 1 252 2641 5454 950 0
VCDI 0 6 2 1 79 1390 6272 641
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9198 8638 1382 773 86 10 0 0
OW 2 174 324 598 63 11 0 0
VODI 0 113 191 1504 482 24 7 0
ODI 0 6 20 1721 2562 240 9 0
CDI 0 2 1 297 2674 5572 1010 0
VCDI 0 6 2 1 78 1232 6212 641

Date: 2022-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10615 7225 1306 688 64 0 0 0
OW 1 271 471 547 63 13 0 0
VODI 0 99 169 2077 644 34 5 0
ODI 0 4 1 888 3734 568 2 0
CDI 0 4 0 6 1358 5355 1087 0
VCDI 0 4 0 2 45 2262 6171 83
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10615 7271 1350 806 104 17 1 0
OW 1 161 334 534 115 13 3 0
VODI 0 157 228 1346 722 64 2 0
ODI 0 10 35 1288 2471 489 4 0
CDI 0 3 0 232 2441 5488 1793 0
VCDI 0 5 0 2 55 2161 5462 83

Date: 2022-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4032 11628 3647 750 61 1 0 0
OW 1 201 521 628 99 14 0 0
VODI 0 52 140 2135 697 46 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 812 3162 876 5 0
CDI 0 3 2 10 1454 4439 2093 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 11 1663 6622 53
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4032 11612 3630 852 109 14 0 0
OW 1 166 359 575 100 19 0 0
VODI 0 98 295 1495 818 57 0 0
ODI 0 6 26 1241 2139 480 2 0
CDI 0 2 2 172 2290 5008 2757 0
VCDI 0 5 0 1 28 1461 5961 53

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6476 11363 1719 552 73 0 0 0
OW 0 234 539 692 97 16 0 0
VODI 0 64 161 2422 574 48 0 0
ODI 0 11 20 1006 2428 972 15 0
CDI 0 4 2 20 1943 4078 1970 106
VCDI 0 2 0 3 26 710 5028 2492
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6476 11325 1710 698 93 12 0 0
OW 0 179 360 619 81 9 0 0
VODI 0 153 299 1570 843 88 1 0
ODI 0 15 71 1504 1308 715 52 0
CDI 0 4 1 301 2782 4565 2526 302
VCDI 0 2 0 3 34 435 4434 2296


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