Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1427 6780 2578 1645 317 24 0 0
OW 2 75 201 942 434 7 0 0
VODI 0 51 94 961 706 40 0 0
ODI 0 46 69 359 1130 379 4 0
CDI 0 60 31 196 3036 4852 351 0
VCDI 0 17 25 54 1082 12092 5758 41
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2196 7463 1979 1406 383 25 0 0
OW 4 87 150 967 379 42 0 0
VODI 0 92 79 841 474 15 0 0
ODI 0 84 89 377 1091 230 25 0
CDI 0 93 71 248 3055 6235 338 0
VCDI 0 4 0 14 890 10240 6200 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1098 8840 2327 1622 370 44 0 0
OW 4 132 153 790 223 19 0 0
VODI 0 64 138 1074 637 12 0 0
ODI 0 47 70 392 2353 364 2 0
CDI 0 3 28 74 3173 5993 195 0
VCDI 0 4 0 2 556 10301 4762 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2672 7298 2552 1888 471 18 0 0
OW 0 147 209 787 160 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 103 1022 625 5 0 0
ODI 0 92 29 412 1972 551 0 0
CDI 0 15 4 137 2656 6467 283 0
VCDI 0 4 1 1 806 8471 5929 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2672 7307 2530 1876 436 17 0 0
OW 0 140 232 782 212 1 0 0
VODI 0 87 97 1032 574 5 0 0
ODI 0 87 35 415 1971 586 0 0
CDI 0 10 3 140 2704 6388 284 0
VCDI 0 4 1 2 793 8515 5928 0

Date: 2022-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2596 7971 2483 1907 389 7 0 0
OW 1 127 220 832 93 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 119 979 509 12 0 0
ODI 0 31 74 435 2013 419 2 0
CDI 0 1 6 249 3763 5053 825 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 741 8839 5048 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2596 7990 2476 1911 376 7 0 0
OW 1 106 229 819 118 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 122 979 499 10 0 0
ODI 0 33 70 435 2018 486 2 0
CDI 0 1 4 258 3807 4925 787 0
VCDI 0 4 1 1 690 8902 5086 0

Date: 2022-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2892 9493 2121 1469 251 2 0 0
OW 0 107 169 695 53 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 66 1197 395 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 631 2697 361 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 128 3316 6325 388 0
VCDI 0 4 0 23 125 6956 5947 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2892 9211 2005 1486 270 3 0 0
OW 0 204 216 659 64 2 0 0
VODI 0 152 115 928 387 25 0 0
ODI 0 70 25 518 1798 531 7 0
CDI 0 0 2 497 3931 5655 1006 0
VCDI 0 4 1 55 387 7438 5322 0

Date: 2022-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1509 10039 3499 1505 180 0 0 0
OW 0 118 209 686 47 7 0 0
VODI 0 35 56 1037 433 17 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 610 2333 589 14 0
CDI 0 0 2 209 3754 5315 1354 0
VCDI 0 4 0 26 31 5221 6977 40
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1509 9806 3274 1492 192 3 0 0
OW 0 164 293 583 70 5 0 0
VODI 0 194 169 723 358 51 0 0
ODI 0 30 33 620 1609 729 32 0
CDI 0 0 4 595 4338 4855 1919 4
VCDI 0 4 1 60 211 5506 6394 36

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 935 11685 2629 1567 198 0 0 0
OW 0 110 174 655 111 4 0 0
VODI 0 48 51 768 639 51 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 661 1856 878 77 0
CDI 0 1 3 317 3281 4635 2485 0
VCDI 0 4 0 47 29 3595 8114 244
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 935 11384 2477 1546 211 3 0 0
OW 0 263 257 517 140 2 0 0
VODI 0 171 84 611 512 110 3 0
ODI 0 36 37 531 1291 845 141 0
CDI 0 2 4 648 3873 4629 2868 0
VCDI 0 4 0 162 87 3574 7664 244


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