Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63524 25014 4976 836 133 19 0 0
OW 14 111 109 480 226 16 0 0
VODI 0 95 13 345 514 133 11 0
ODI 0 90 11 211 482 575 48 0
CDI 0 165 67 186 436 1201 412 0
VCDI 0 0 6 51 150 824 7120 496
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68292 22050 3545 745 157 0 0 0
OW 13 109 120 475 279 22 0 0
VODI 0 100 22 412 460 106 17 0
ODI 0 92 10 207 578 357 59 0
CDI 0 162 69 205 559 1188 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 100 707 7449 238
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65973 22265 4822 1825 144 1 0 0
OW 10 88 106 488 229 3 0 0
VODI 0 84 27 487 510 47 2 0
ODI 0 48 19 199 793 476 8 0
CDI 0 69 42 103 594 1380 52 0
VCDI 0 0 3 22 137 1967 6066 11
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69285 20177 4532 1141 105 2 0 0
OW 8 108 139 473 266 10 0 0
VODI 0 62 54 482 417 186 11 0
ODI 0 35 23 202 468 637 127 0
CDI 0 54 32 141 613 992 217 0
VCDI 0 1 4 37 178 4010 3871 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69285 20183 4557 1204 139 2 0 0
OW 8 101 113 392 246 15 0 0
VODI 0 64 55 521 415 187 17 0
ODI 0 34 22 183 445 609 135 0
CDI 0 55 33 138 646 1018 217 0
VCDI 0 0 4 38 156 4006 3857 0

Date: 2022-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76683 15142 2772 804 80 2 0 0
OW 9 94 147 552 202 5 0 0
VODI 0 44 80 489 469 218 3 0
ODI 0 28 14 184 448 630 20 0
CDI 0 22 21 180 717 1124 77 0
VCDI 0 0 3 32 138 5640 2027 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76683 15143 2788 898 115 2 0 0
OW 9 89 139 461 176 19 0 0
VODI 0 47 71 487 478 223 3 0
ODI 0 23 14 186 412 610 18 0
CDI 0 28 22 178 769 1168 92 0
VCDI 0 0 3 31 104 5597 2014 0

Date: 2022-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64104 25725 4510 1275 85 2 0 0
OW 9 79 198 495 109 2 0 0
VODI 0 37 58 535 359 75 1 0
ODI 0 20 22 251 665 439 10 0
CDI 0 16 13 155 629 1925 81 0
VCDI 0 0 1 22 80 4706 2407 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64104 25627 4521 1453 149 4 0 0
OW 9 127 146 431 147 57 1 0
VODI 0 57 82 432 531 300 0 0
ODI 0 30 24 156 281 490 16 0
CDI 0 36 28 224 705 1303 34 0
VCDI 0 0 1 37 114 4995 2448 0

Date: 2022-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68438 24207 2795 653 33 0 0 0
OW 7 113 222 377 90 8 0 0
VODI 0 51 91 411 381 122 0 0
ODI 0 25 13 177 479 443 3 0
CDI 0 5 13 135 545 2801 206 0
VCDI 0 0 1 21 97 4606 1531 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68438 24096 2756 740 67 8 0 0
OW 7 177 223 325 185 67 0 0
VODI 0 77 96 364 420 310 3 0
ODI 0 33 36 122 228 433 11 0
CDI 0 18 23 191 598 2220 167 0
VCDI 0 0 1 32 127 4942 1559 0

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74582 19347 1453 829 47 0 0 0
OW 6 92 209 377 158 9 0 0
VODI 0 69 64 366 444 148 0 0
ODI 0 23 16 127 483 457 13 0
CDI 0 0 15 186 581 2946 88 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 217 4912 826 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74582 19248 1395 918 176 10 0 0
OW 6 156 191 320 290 72 0 0
VODI 0 65 105 291 328 293 5 0
ODI 0 48 38 110 235 360 16 0
CDI 0 14 28 244 690 2833 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 211 4904 835 0


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