Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 175 51 21 2 0 0 0
OW 0 35 78 79 20 4 0 0
VODI 0 11 33 115 85 27 5 0
ODI 0 24 46 114 146 66 59 0
CDI 0 30 126 230 444 588 491 32
VCDI 0 92 123 446 1337 4075 13177 9695
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 35 32 5 2 0 0
OW 0 7 23 99 66 8 0 0
VODI 0 19 33 108 89 47 12 0
ODI 0 51 30 82 174 67 90 0
CDI 0 109 92 241 563 667 794 0
VCDI 0 102 205 404 1383 4594 16621 5125
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 45 24 3 1 1 0
OW 0 31 44 83 37 2 1 0
VODI 0 52 56 180 110 18 8 0
ODI 0 40 46 127 255 91 52 0
CDI 0 135 84 347 994 1173 506 0
VCDI 0 117 97 316 975 4599 15173 6222
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 71 67 48 4 0 0 0
OW 0 18 24 102 38 6 0 0
VODI 0 37 39 157 109 10 3 0
ODI 0 25 45 176 239 75 27 0
CDI 0 93 78 284 820 1316 641 0
VCDI 0 121 99 324 906 4332 16243 5505
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 76 61 52 11 0 0 0
OW 0 19 24 96 33 3 0 0
VODI 0 32 44 148 83 13 3 0
ODI 0 26 37 180 239 72 46 0
CDI 0 103 101 290 843 1372 696 0
VCDI 0 109 85 325 907 4279 16169 5505

Date: 2022-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 116 78 91 3 0 0 0
OW 0 40 67 72 11 1 1 0
VODI 0 34 67 169 85 10 4 0
ODI 0 32 49 152 210 67 32 0
CDI 0 65 72 279 946 1291 622 0
VCDI 0 136 99 327 956 4552 15273 6073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 114 84 115 3 0 0 0
OW 0 45 44 58 13 2 0 0
VODI 0 35 87 145 55 6 7 0
ODI 0 32 42 174 249 51 52 0
CDI 0 71 84 275 950 1376 679 0
VCDI 0 126 91 323 941 4486 15194 6073

Date: 2022-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 217 154 64 11 0 0 0
OW 0 76 75 88 13 5 2 0
VODI 0 52 86 252 107 8 3 0
ODI 0 18 39 274 324 203 18 0
CDI 0 68 94 332 857 1735 535 0
VCDI 0 87 58 158 611 4052 16263 5143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 201 124 70 11 1 0 0
OW 0 67 61 57 19 3 1 0
VODI 0 43 69 130 69 8 2 0
ODI 0 35 52 224 164 96 56 0
CDI 0 56 68 322 770 1422 842 0
VCDI 0 116 132 365 890 4473 15920 5143

Date: 2022-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 319 125 37 8 0 0 0
OW 0 96 81 91 6 4 2 0
VODI 0 45 110 228 118 34 1 0
ODI 0 18 55 231 262 176 109 0
CDI 0 92 93 420 920 1474 1226 0
VCDI 0 121 99 235 941 5462 16960 1883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 236 70 38 9 0 0 0
OW 0 91 38 41 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 98 125 61 23 10 0
ODI 0 31 114 189 150 144 149 0
CDI 0 80 99 414 673 1065 1262 0
VCDI 0 151 144 435 1345 5918 16877 1883

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 359 91 20 0 3 0 0
OW 0 116 108 68 23 5 1 0
VODI 0 71 142 218 96 34 32 0
ODI 0 33 91 243 233 160 105 0
CDI 0 66 119 478 994 1342 1292 34
VCDI 0 151 190 334 843 5132 17409 1446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 254 48 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 86 47 39 17 3 2 0
VODI 0 118 93 77 69 51 79 0
ODI 0 86 137 181 126 113 200 0
CDI 0 84 177 528 733 1110 1340 31
VCDI 0 168 239 509 1244 5399 17218 1449


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