Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 0 8 11 5 1 0
ODI 0 14 5 18 29 13 24 0
CDI 0 16 7 37 113 139 176 10
VCDI 0 15 21 94 625 1793 16066 26615
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 8 1 6 3 0
ODI 0 8 3 19 21 24 40 0
CDI 0 10 17 73 135 151 319 0
VCDI 0 12 21 166 725 2214 16284 25597
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 9 13 4 3 0
ODI 0 1 6 52 62 33 25 0
CDI 0 9 14 124 269 368 292 29
VCDI 0 17 37 188 758 2014 17266 24268
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 13 12 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 58 75 29 0 0
CDI 0 10 11 101 229 332 173 38
VCDI 0 6 53 287 805 2289 19792 21516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 13 13 19 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 63 65 43 0 0
CDI 0 12 12 100 255 328 177 40
VCDI 0 6 54 282 787 2277 19788 21514

Date: 2022-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 4 12 3 4 0 0
ODI 0 8 21 48 32 40 35 0
CDI 0 15 28 147 256 297 359 51
VCDI 0 33 61 311 847 2857 19607 20783
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
VODI 0 5 7 11 9 6 0 0
ODI 0 8 16 52 33 48 37 0
CDI 0 15 27 147 246 282 345 57
VCDI 0 34 64 308 850 2861 19619 20777

Date: 2022-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 6 33 59 59 9 0
ODI 0 13 23 67 192 159 27 0
CDI 0 28 45 237 513 609 282 13
VCDI 0 22 139 309 1403 5218 17104 19293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0
VODI 0 0 2 27 64 70 16 0
ODI 0 7 5 31 145 131 77 0
CDI 0 23 34 151 366 470 422 74
VCDI 0 37 172 437 1592 5372 16902 19232

Date: 2022-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 10 6 69 127 108 7 0
ODI 0 17 3 51 227 228 27 0
CDI 0 15 38 194 424 819 200 36
VCDI 0 114 72 381 1264 6189 17599 17627
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 7 16 20 4 0
VODI 0 4 3 57 89 133 13 0
ODI 0 15 6 52 214 250 35 4
CDI 0 16 23 122 406 711 189 63
VCDI 0 121 87 465 1322 6231 17592 17596

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 14 22 26 21 9 0
VODI 0 23 7 69 118 85 54 0
ODI 0 18 6 38 129 201 157 0
CDI 0 34 37 198 272 531 813 27
VCDI 0 142 97 387 1008 5500 17809 18005
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 1 6 3 3 2 0
OW 0 4 6 6 12 35 19 0
VODI 0 23 16 76 98 80 71 0
ODI 0 13 5 51 134 163 195 5
CDI 0 26 28 119 236 536 751 73
VCDI 0 157 106 456 1070 5521 17804 17954


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