Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64495 18346 993 753 273 52 39 0
OW 53 285 218 452 436 86 6 0
VODI 0 109 106 386 562 256 40 0
ODI 0 15 44 122 401 469 92 0
CDI 0 7 22 108 443 1325 355 0
VCDI 0 0 4 50 328 3294 9054 5021
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65988 16605 1058 973 274 64 69 0
OW 53 274 197 452 528 110 6 0
VODI 0 102 113 362 457 302 53 0
ODI 0 14 40 186 351 426 136 0
CDI 0 8 23 134 466 1064 549 0
VCDI 0 0 4 61 193 2402 9994 5009
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58496 21426 3563 1090 289 67 42 0
OW 60 134 188 551 433 45 10 0
VODI 0 36 75 396 705 256 30 0
ODI 0 9 21 141 479 516 96 0
CDI 0 2 12 121 422 1328 594 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 98 3008 9327 5025
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58287 19839 5360 1010 288 110 24 0
OW 60 122 257 489 487 87 3 0
VODI 0 75 72 312 632 348 41 0
ODI 0 15 12 148 397 467 107 0
CDI 0 4 3 98 566 1217 561 0
VCDI 0 0 5 31 250 4018 8472 4826
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58287 19848 5419 1094 333 110 24 0
OW 60 113 198 397 425 109 6 0
VODI 0 73 67 310 583 332 42 0
ODI 0 17 17 163 459 498 132 0
CDI 0 4 4 96 571 1188 521 0
VCDI 0 0 4 28 249 4010 8483 4826

Date: 2022-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58451 19935 4253 1608 559 109 10 0
OW 51 275 121 467 495 118 20 0
VODI 0 80 73 311 606 347 105 0
ODI 0 10 13 112 451 427 133 0
CDI 0 13 5 78 628 1109 531 0
VCDI 0 24 30 70 550 3758 8266 4898
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58451 19956 4258 1686 606 138 12 0
OW 51 249 121 380 430 122 31 0
VODI 0 80 67 310 594 291 102 0
ODI 0 15 15 121 487 488 142 0
CDI 0 13 4 77 611 1059 523 0
VCDI 0 24 30 72 561 3770 8255 4898

Date: 2022-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62591 18611 2249 940 437 86 4 0
OW 63 179 197 406 341 90 4 0
VODI 7 34 71 367 622 180 32 0
ODI 0 12 9 114 734 494 115 0
CDI 0 14 11 53 596 1567 523 0
VCDI 0 8 34 71 662 3692 7785 5095
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62598 18458 2228 1136 680 170 9 0
OW 60 277 144 244 379 159 46 0
VODI 3 75 117 286 545 286 111 0
ODI 0 11 24 111 461 462 157 0
CDI 0 14 12 87 560 1423 628 0
VCDI 0 23 46 87 767 3609 7512 5095

Date: 2022-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63886 18223 1369 1057 415 116 14 0
OW 59 103 145 434 333 148 25 0
VODI 0 21 47 320 698 267 84 0
ODI 0 7 5 129 474 489 139 0
CDI 0 14 8 34 558 1684 666 0
VCDI 0 2 21 80 381 3430 7874 5341
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63886 17793 1286 1193 629 229 48 0
OW 59 384 135 274 299 187 59 0
VODI 0 157 111 290 536 343 100 0
ODI 0 12 25 138 467 488 174 0
CDI 0 0 5 65 489 1571 725 0
VCDI 0 24 33 94 439 3316 7696 5341

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61662 20688 1342 952 373 145 6 0
OW 62 134 187 472 318 126 28 0
VODI 1 27 76 328 566 295 90 0
ODI 0 5 15 146 456 471 207 0
CDI 0 10 4 73 548 1740 816 0
VCDI 0 6 19 71 373 3124 8425 4713
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61652 20311 1345 1139 626 259 36 0
OW 73 293 120 297 313 197 64 0
VODI 0 241 105 256 438 382 160 0
ODI 0 4 46 174 294 500 245 0
CDI 0 1 3 95 457 1285 697 0
VCDI 0 20 24 81 506 3278 8370 4713


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