Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 1 2 9 31 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 19 24 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 96 189 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 275 1454 14600 28956
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 2 7 2 4 0
ODI 0 0 1 12 19 36 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 69 190 185 1
VCDI 0 0 0 2 212 1427 14874 28779
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 4 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 19 48 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 27 115 245 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 444 1362 16500 26942
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 0 5 12 2 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 33 23 13 6 0
CDI 0 8 9 69 116 217 132 5
VCDI 0 0 16 134 572 1996 16733 25741
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 7 0 4 7 3 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 32 27 16 5 0
CDI 0 9 10 67 104 229 140 18
VCDI 0 0 16 138 582 1979 16726 25728

Date: 2022-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 7 0 9 4 5 3 0
ODI 0 11 2 27 9 20 41 0
CDI 0 17 4 77 134 144 252 30
VCDI 0 15 15 202 649 1944 14742 27498
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 2 1 5 0 0
VODI 0 6 0 10 2 2 2 0
ODI 0 10 2 27 14 19 34 0
CDI 0 16 3 68 125 161 257 27
VCDI 0 17 16 210 655 1927 14745 27501

Date: 2022-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 22 18 5 0 0
ODI 0 2 6 45 61 37 29 0
CDI 0 5 24 103 222 267 192 8
VCDI 0 9 40 132 717 2073 16653 25187
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 0 7 4 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 26 39 30 26 0
CDI 0 4 16 96 156 196 274 12
VCDI 0 12 51 173 818 2153 16574 25183

Date: 2022-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 7 10 9 0 1 0
ODI 0 3 14 58 59 24 3 0
CDI 0 10 18 128 248 510 264 40
VCDI 0 17 49 271 753 2097 20843 20426
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 0
ODI 0 2 5 37 34 25 5 0
CDI 0 8 25 105 193 339 300 43
VCDI 0 21 57 324 842 2266 20804 20423

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 12 11 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 23 53 31 28 1 0
CDI 0 23 32 121 223 287 237 40
VCDI 0 26 46 281 850 2107 20634 20765
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 7 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 17 30 28 27 7 0
CDI 0 22 27 86 140 174 200 43
VCDI 0 35 67 343 941 2221 20665 20762


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