Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 41 100 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 294 1355 9780 34284
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2 17 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 189 1262 10559 33836
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 9 20 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 241 1297 12107 32157
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 7 15 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 41 196 146 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 224 1701 14497 29012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 6 20 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 39 199 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 227 1693 14488 29012

Date: 2022-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 13 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 9 112 107 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 382 2495 14599 28084
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 9 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 9 111 106 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 387 2497 14589 28084

Date: 2022-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 13 17 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 7 162 147 18 11
VCDI 0 0 0 29 326 2174 15164 27787
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 8 10 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 7 61 142 57 53
VCDI 0 0 0 32 437 2186 15125 27745

Date: 2022-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 2 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 37 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 158 94 22 9
VCDI 0 2 0 40 411 1954 12810 30281
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 7 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 65 61 39 0
VCDI 0 2 0 50 536 2007 12793 30290

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 32 12 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 22 174 44 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 436 1904 19370 23781
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 9 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 27 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 90 28 35 0
VCDI 0 3 0 50 516 1928 19365 23781


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